Maritimo vs FC Porto Napoved

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 15:00

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FC Porto

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe FC Porto

22%

25%

54%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Maritimo proti FC Porto: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Maritimo na 22%, za FC Porto na 54%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Maritimo

DLLLD

FC Porto

WWLWW

Last 3 meetings Maritimo · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Maritimo faces a challenging matchup against FC Porto. Historically, Porto has dominated this fixture, showcasing a strong attack with an average of 2.4 goals per match this season, while Maritimo struggles defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game. Additionally, Porto's possession rate of 60% indicates their control in matches, which could put Maritimo's defense under significant pressure. With Porto's depth and experience, they are favored to secure a vital away victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Porto goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	7	8	6	3	1
1	4	11	10	7	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Maritimo goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Players in form

Maritimo

No scorer data.

FC Porto

Gabri Veiga 4 gls

Borja Sainz 3 gls

André Silva 3 gls

William 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

25%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

25%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	7.0%	8.3%	5.5%	2.8%
1	3.7%	11.3%	10.0%	6.6%	3.3%
2	3.0%	6.0%	6.0%	4.0%	2.0%
3	1.2%	2.4%	2.4%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maritimo	Draw	FC Porto
Maritimo	12.5%	4.4%	3.3%
Draw	7.9%	14.1%	18.1%
FC Porto	1.5%	4.0%	34.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Maritimo vs FC Porto

0 Maritimo Wins

0 Draws

3 FC Porto Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2023	Maritimo	0 - 2	FC Porto
06 Aug 2022	FC Porto	5 - 1	Maritimo
30 Jan 2022	FC Porto	2 - 1	Maritimo

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Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A GIL Vicente	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Moreirense	L	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A Arouca	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Academico Viseu	D	2 - 2

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.