Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

21 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Sparta Rotterdam

Away

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Utrecht

54%

29%

17%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Utrecht proti Sparta Rotterdam: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Utrecht na 54%, za Sparta Rotterdam na 17%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 29%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Utrecht

LWDLD

Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings Utrecht · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Utrecht faces Sparta Rotterdam in a crucial Eredivisie clash on March 21, 2027. Utrecht has shown a solid home record, emphasizing their attacking prowess with an average of 2 goals per game at home this season. Sparta Rotterdam, however, has been resilient on the road, maintaining a strong defensive unit that concedes less than a goal per away match. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points, with Utrecht aiming to solidify their position in the top half of the table while Sparta seeks to climb away from the relegation zone. The outcome may hinge on Utrecht's ability to break down Sparta's defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

17%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sparta Rotterdam goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Utrecht goals · most likely 1–0 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Utrecht

Artem Stepanov 5 gls

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	6.2%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
1	14.4%	13.3%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.2%	9.0%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%
3	6.2%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.4%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht	34.0%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	19.8%	19.7%	7.4%
Sparta Rotterdam	1.9%	3.6%	9.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam

0 Utrecht Wins

1 Draws

2 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Sparta Rotterdam	3 - 3	Utrecht
25 Jan 2026	Utrecht	0 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam
17 Aug 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 1	Utrecht

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Utrecht — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Feyenoord	L	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Excelsior	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	3 - 3
30 Aug	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 6
22 Aug	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	3 - 3

Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.