NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

24 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Willem II

Away

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

UI napoved NEC Nijmegen ali neodločeno

48%

28%

25%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved NEC Nijmegen proti Willem II: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za NEC Nijmegen na 48%, za Willem II na 25%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Willem II

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Eredivisie clash, NEC Nijmegen hosts Willem II. NEC has shown a solid home record, with a high possession rate of around 55% and an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Willem II has struggled on the road, conceding over 2 goals per match on average, which could be pivotal in this matchup. Expect NEC to leverage their attacking efficiency against a Willem II defense that has been inconsistent. The outcome may hinge on NEC's ability to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks, given their offensive statistics.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Willem II goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	1
1	9	13	7	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ NEC Nijmegen goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	5.5%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
1	8.8%	13.1%	6.6%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.6%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.7%	5.3%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NEC Nijmegen	Draw	Willem II
NEC Nijmegen	30.0%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	16.8%	16.8%	9.6%
Willem II	2.5%	4.4%	14.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

1 Draws

1 Willem II Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Aug 2026	Willem II	1 - 4	NEC Nijmegen
03 May 2025	NEC Nijmegen	1 - 1	Willem II
22 Dec 2024	Willem II	4 - 1	NEC Nijmegen

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NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Willem II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Ajax	L	5 - 1
11 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Excelsior	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Heerenveen	D	2 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.