Telstar vs Willem II Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Willem II

Away

UI napoved Telstar zmaga ali remi

65%

22%

13%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Telstar proti Willem II: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Telstar na 65%, za Willem II na 13%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 22%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Telstar

LDLDL

Willem II

LLDLD

Last 2 meetings Telstar · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Telstar will face Willem II in a crucial Eredivisie match, with both teams fighting for points in the competitive league. Telstar has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season, while Willem II boasts a more robust attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match. Historically, matches between these two teams have been tightly contested, with the last five encounters split evenly in terms of wins. Key players to watch include Telstar's leading scorer, who will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Willem II to secure a vital home win. The outcome may hinge on which team can better exploit set-piece opportunities, as both have shown vulnerabilities in this area.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

65%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

13%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Willem II goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2	1
1	10	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	7	3	1
4	5	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ Telstar goals · most likely 2–0 (11.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	3.1%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.7%	10.5%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.8%	10.0%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.4%	7.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
4	4.5%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Telstar	Draw	Willem II
Telstar	43.9%	3.4%	0.9%
Draw	20.4%	13.3%	5.2%
Willem II	2.7%	3.3%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Telstar vs Willem II

1 Telstar Wins

1 Draws

0 Willem II Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Jun 2025	Willem II	1 - 3	Telstar
29 May 2025	Telstar	2 - 2	Willem II

Telstar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	A Heerenveen	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	A Twente	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Cambuur	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H Ajax	L	0 - 4

Willem II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Ajax	L	5 - 1
11 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Excelsior	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Heerenveen	D	2 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.