Ajax vs Utrecht Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Utrecht

Away

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Ajax

63%

24%

12%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Ajax proti Utrecht: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Ajax na 63%, za Utrecht na 12%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 24%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Ajax

DWWLW

Utrecht

LWDLD

Last 3 meetings Ajax · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Ajax enters the match against Utrecht with a strong offensive record, having scored an average of 2.5 goals per game this season. Defensively, they boast a solid backline that has conceded only 0.8 goals per match. Utrecht, on the other hand, has struggled to maintain consistency, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game. Ajax's superior attacking prowess and home form place them in a favorable position heading into this fixture. A key aspect to watch will be Ajax's ability to break down Utrecht's defense, which has been leaky against top opponents.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Utrecht goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	13	11	4	1
2	13	10	3	1
3	8	6	2	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Ajax goals · most likely 2–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

Utrecht

Artem Stepanov 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	4.1%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
1	13.0%	11.5%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.4%	9.5%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
3	8.4%	6.0%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ajax	Draw	Utrecht
Ajax	41.6%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	21.1%	15.8%	5.3%
Utrecht	2.3%	3.2%	6.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ajax vs Utrecht

0 Ajax Wins

0 Draws

3 Utrecht Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Ajax	1 - 2	Utrecht
09 Nov 2025	Utrecht	2 - 1	Ajax
20 Apr 2025	Utrecht	4 - 0	Ajax

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Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Utrecht — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Feyenoord	L	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Excelsior	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	3 - 3
30 Aug	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 6
22 Aug	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	3 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.