NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 13:30

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Groningen

Away

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

UI napoved NEC Nijmegen zmaga ali remi

77%

19%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved NEC Nijmegen proti Groningen: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za NEC Nijmegen na 77%, za Groningen na 4%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 19%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.2%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Groningen

WDDLL

Last 3 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen faces Groningen in an Eredivisie clash on October 25, 2026. NEC has demonstrated a solid home record, currently averaging 1.5 goals per match at home this season, while Groningen has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per away match. Both teams are vying for crucial points to improve their standings, with NEC showing better form in recent fixtures. Key players to watch include NEC's attacking midfielder, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Groningen's leading scorer, who remains pivotal for their offensive efforts. This match could hinge on NEC's ability to exploit Groningen's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Groningen goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	2
1	19	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ NEC Nijmegen goals · most likely 2–0 (20.2%)

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Players in form

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

22%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	19.5%	7.1%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.2%	6.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.4%	4.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.7%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NEC Nijmegen	Draw	Groningen
NEC Nijmegen	51.7%	1.6%	0.2%
Draw	24.9%	14.5%	2.1%
Groningen	1.3%	1.6%	2.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

0 Draws

2 Groningen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Groningen	2 - 1	NEC Nijmegen
09 Nov 2025	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 0	Groningen
08 Feb 2025	Groningen	2 - 1	NEC Nijmegen

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NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.