Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 19:00

Post on X

NEC Nijmegen

Away

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Ajax

62%

25%

13%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Ajax proti NEC Nijmegen: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Ajax na 62%, za NEC Nijmegen na 13%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Ajax

DWWLW

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Ajax · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Eredivisie matchup, Ajax will face NEC Nijmegen on October 10, 2026. Ajax has historically dominated this fixture, boasting a strong attacking lineup and an impressive home record. NEC Nijmegen, while competitive, often struggles against top-tier teams, particularly in away matches. Key players to watch include Ajax's forward, who has been prolific this season, and NEC's defense, which will need to tighten up to prevent conceding goals. Overall, Ajax appears favored to secure a win based on their recent form and squad depth.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2	1
1	13	12	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	8	6	2	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Ajax goals · most likely 2–0 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	4.3%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
1	12.6%	11.8%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.9%	9.6%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
3	7.9%	5.9%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	3.6%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ajax	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
Ajax	39.9%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	20.8%	16.2%	5.8%
NEC Nijmegen	2.3%	3.4%	7.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

0 Ajax Wins

2 Draws

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Ajax	1 - 1	NEC Nijmegen
20 Dec 2025	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 2	Ajax
11 May 2025	Ajax	0 - 3	NEC Nijmegen

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Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.