AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4

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GO Ahead Eagles

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

UI napoved AZ Alkmaar zmaga ali remi

67%

19%

14%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved AZ Alkmaar proti GO Ahead Eagles: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za AZ Alkmaar na 67%, za GO Ahead Eagles na 14%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 19%. Zadnja posodobitev: 29 Aug 2026, 18:39.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%

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Timeline

Dave Kwakman

7' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 22'

Victor Kaj Edvardsen

Ro-Zangelo Daal assist: Dave Kwakman

35' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 45'

Erik Flataker

HT 2–1

assist: Mateo Chávez

49' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 59'

Alfons Sampsted ⇄ Eus Waayers

⇄ 59'

Victor Kaj Edvardsen ⇄ Richonell Margaret

Weslley Patati ⇄ Calvin Stengs

64' ⇄

Dave Kwakman ⇄ Jordy Clasie

64' ⇄

Mateo Chávez

68' ⚽ 4–1

⇄ 69'

Søren Tengstedt ⇄ Thibo Baeten

Kees Smit ⇄ Ayoub Oufkir

77' ⇄

Elijah Dijkstra ⇄ Seiya Maikuma

77' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Dean James ⇄ Oskar Siira Sivertsen

Mateo Chávez ⇄ Mees de Wit

83' ⇄

Ro-Zangelo Daal assist: Calvin Stengs

86' ⚽ 5–1

⚽ 5–2 90+3'

Mathis Suray

FT 5–2

AZ Alkmaar

Match Stats

GO Ahead Eagles

52% Ball Possession 48%

20 Total Shots 10

8 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 4

5 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 7

7 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 6

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

483 Total passes 445

403 Passes accurate 370

5 Free Kicks 8

AZ Alkmaar

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Ro-Zangelo Daal M	9.2	90'	2	–	5	44 (35%)	–
21 Dave Kwakman M	8.5	64'	1	1	4	39 (36%)	1
5 Mateo Chávez D	7.2	83'	1	1	2	38 (31%)	3
6 Peer Koopmeiners M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	63 (49%)	1
3 Wouter Goes D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	57 (51%)	2
22 Elijah Dijkstra D	6.6	77'	–	–	–	31 (31%)	–
24 Ayoub Oufkir F	6.6	13'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
10 Kees Smit M	6.5	77'	–	–	2	34 (26%)	2
9 Mexx Meerdink F	6.4	90'	–	–	3	20 (13%)	–
7 Weslley Patati M	6.3	64'	–	–	2	20 (14%)	–
28 Jari De Busser G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	47 (37%)	–
14 Calvin Stengs M	6.1	26'	–	1	–	11 (9%)	–
34 Mees de Wit D	6.1	7'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
8 Jordy Clasie M	6.0	26'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
2 Seiya Maikuma D	5.8	13'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–

GO Ahead Eagles

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Mathis Suray M	7.2	90'	1	–	1	33 (25%)	1
11 Oskar Siira Sivertsen F	6.8	13'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
26 Julius Dirksen D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	65 (55%)	1
21 Melle Meulensteen M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	46 (42%)	–
16 Victor Kaj Edvardsen M	6.5	59'	1	–	1	21 (13%)	1
23 Thibo Baeten F	6.3	21'	–	–	1	3 (1%)	–
18 Richonell Margaret F	6.3	31'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
29 Erik Flataker F	6.2	46'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
5 Dean James D	6.0	77'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	–
8 Evert Linthorst M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	1
4 Joris Kramer D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	69 (64%)	–
2 Alfons Sampsted D	5.7	59'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	4
10 Søren Tengstedt M	5.6	69'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	1
1 Kjetil Haug G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (27%)	–
20 Eus Waayers D	5.5	31'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

AZ Alkmaar zmaga ali remi

Most likely score

2:0 · 10.6%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

GO Ahead Eagles

DDDLW

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

AZ Alkmaar enters this matchup against GO Ahead Eagles with a strong attacking record, averaging 1.9 goals per game in the previous season. They are likely to dominate possession, given their midfield strength and quick transitions. Conversely, GO Ahead Eagles struggled defensively last season, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. AZ’s home form has been solid, with a high win rate, while GO Ahead Eagles will need to improve their away performance if they hope to secure points in this fixture. Overall, AZ Alkmaar is favored to capitalize on their attacking prowess and home advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

GO Ahead Eagles goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	2	1
1	8	10	4	1
2	11	10	5	2
3	8	8	4	1
4	5	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 2–0 (10.6%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

GO Ahead Eagles

S. Tengstedt 5 gls

V. Edvardsen 3 gls

S. Sigurðarson 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	2.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
1	8.1%	9.9%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.6%	10.1%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	8.1%	7.7%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
4	4.7%	4.4%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar	48.3%	4.5%	1.5%
Draw	17.1%	12.1%	6.1%
GO Ahead Eagles	2.0%	2.5%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles

1 AZ Alkmaar Wins

2 Draws

0 GO Ahead Eagles Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Apr 2026	GO Ahead Eagles	0 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
07 Dec 2025	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 2	GO Ahead Eagles
04 May 2025	GO Ahead Eagles	0 - 3	AZ Alkmaar

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

GO Ahead Eagles — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Groningen	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Utrecht	D	3 - 3
29 Aug	A AZ Alkmaar	L	5 - 2
23 Aug	H ADO Den Haag	W	3 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2