Lyon vs Toulouse Napoved

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

27 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Toulouse

Away

UI napoved Lyon zmaga

79%

16%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Lyon proti Toulouse: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Lyon na 79%, za Toulouse na 5%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 16%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 15.9%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Lyon

WWDWD

Toulouse

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Lyon · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Lyon currently stands as a strong contender in Ligue 1, showcasing a solid home record with an average of 2.1 goals per game this season. In contrast, Toulouse has struggled on the road, managing only 0.8 goals per game away from home. Lyon's offensive capabilities, led by their key forwards, will likely challenge Toulouse's defense, which has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. Additionally, Lyon's midfield control could dominate possession, limiting Toulouse's attacking opportunities. This match will be crucial for both teams, with Lyon aiming to solidify their position in the top half of the table.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

79%

10%

Draw

16%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	2	1
1	12	8	2
2	16	8	2
3	13	7	2
4	8	4	1
5	4	2	1

↑ Lyon goals · most likely 2–0 (15.9%)

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Players in form

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	1.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	11.9%	7.5%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
2	15.9%	8.3%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	13.2%	6.9%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
4	8.2%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

30%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lyon	Draw	Toulouse
Lyon	56.1%	2.0%	0.3%
Draw	22.2%	10.2%	2.3%
Toulouse	2.1%	2.0%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Toulouse

1 Lyon Wins

0 Draws

2 Toulouse Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Toulouse	0 - 2	Lyon
10 May 2026	Toulouse	2 - 1	Lyon
05 Oct 2025	Lyon	1 - 2	Toulouse

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Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.