Lens vs Estac Troyes Napoved

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

20 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Estac Troyes

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Lens

58%

25%

17%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Lens proti Estac Troyes: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Lens na 58%, za Estac Troyes na 17%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Lens

LDWLL

Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Lens · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lens faces Estac Troyes in a Ligue 1 matchup, where Lens has shown strong form at home this season, boasting a solid record with a high average possession rate of 58% and an impressive goal difference. Troyes, on the other hand, struggles defensively, having conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their recent outings. The key battle will likely be Lens' attacking prowess against Troyes' leaky defense. Lens will aim to exploit Troyes' vulnerabilities to secure vital points in their pursuit of a top table finish.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	10	12	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Lens goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	4.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.0%	12.1%	5.0%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.7%	10.0%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.7%	6.3%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	3.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lens	Draw	Estac Troyes
Lens	39.8%	4.3%	1.3%
Draw	17.2%	15.4%	7.2%
Estac Troyes	2.1%	3.4%	9.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lens vs Estac Troyes

2 Lens Wins

1 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Jan 2023	Estac Troyes	1 - 1	Lens
09 Sep 2022	Lens	1 - 0	Estac Troyes
14 May 2022	Estac Troyes	1 - 3	Lens

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Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.