Marseille vs Estac Troyes Napoved

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

30 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Estac Troyes

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Marseille

62%

25%

13%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Marseille proti Estac Troyes: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Marseille na 62%, za Estac Troyes na 13%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Marseille

LLLLL

Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Marseille will face Estac Troyes. Marseille has shown strong form this season, averaging 2.1 goals per match while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per match. In contrast, Troyes struggles, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded per match. This significant disparity in offensive and defensive metrics indicates that Marseille is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Troyes will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on any counter-attacks to secure a competitive result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	13	12	4	1
2	13	10	3	1
3	8	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 2–0 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	4.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
1	13.2%	11.8%	3.8%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.2%	9.5%	3.4%	0.8%	0.2%
3	8.0%	5.8%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.7%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Marseille	Draw	Estac Troyes
Marseille	40.0%	3.3%	0.7%
Draw	21.1%	16.4%	5.6%
Estac Troyes	2.3%	3.4%	7.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Estac Troyes

2 Marseille Wins

1 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Apr 2023	Marseille	3 - 1	Estac Troyes
11 Jan 2023	Estac Troyes	0 - 2	Marseille
27 Feb 2022	Estac Troyes	1 - 1	Marseille

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Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.