Toulouse vs Rennes Napoved

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Rennes

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

UI napoved Rennes ali neodločeno

25%

28%

47%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Toulouse proti Rennes: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Toulouse na 25%, za Rennes na 47%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Rennes

LDWWW

Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Toulouse faces Rennes in an intriguing Ligue 1 clash, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Toulouse has shown resilience at home this season, boasting a solid defensive record, having conceded only 10 goals in their last 6 matches. On the other hand, Rennes has been inconsistent, especially in away fixtures, with a win rate of just 33% on the road. Key players to watch include Toulouse's top scorer, who has netted 7 goals this season, and Rennes' playmaker, who leads the team in assists. The outcome could hinge on Toulouse's ability to exploit Rennes' defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rennes goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	5	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

Rennes

E. Lepaul 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

28%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

28%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 35% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	8.7%	8.3%	4.5%	1.8%
1	5.7%	13.2%	9.6%	5.2%	2.1%
2	4.1%	6.7%	5.5%	3.0%	1.2%
3	1.6%	2.6%	2.1%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toulouse	Draw	Rennes
Toulouse	14.8%	4.4%	2.5%
Draw	9.9%	16.9%	16.6%
Rennes	1.6%	4.3%	28.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Rennes

1 Toulouse Wins

1 Draws

1 Rennes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Rennes	1 - 0	Toulouse
29 Oct 2025	Toulouse	2 - 2	Rennes
03 May 2025	Toulouse	2 - 1	Rennes

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Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Rennes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lyon	L	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Sturm Graz	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Marseille	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Angers	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Le Mans	W	3 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.