Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain Napoved

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
UI napoved Paris Saint Germain zmaga ali remi
11%
18%
70%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Stade Brestois 29 proti Paris Saint Germain: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Stade Brestois 29 na 11%, za Paris Saint Germain na 70%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 18%. Zadnja posodobitev: 13 Sep 2026, 20:41.

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  • Away 2H Over 0.5 74%
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Match Report

Paris Saint-Germain claimed a narrow 1-0 victory at Stade Francis-Le Blé to collect three points in Ligue 1's fourth matchday. The decisive moment came as early as the fifth minute, when Ferran Torres broke the deadlock to give PSG a lead they would never relinquish. The visitors headed into half-time with that slender advantage intact.

Brest dominated possession at 60% and registered 15 shots across the 90 minutes — matching PSG's total — but could not convert their opportunities, with seven of those efforts on target proving insufficient. A yellow card for Kamory Doumbia in the first half and a flurry of bookings late on, including Vitinha and Dro Fernández, added some edge to the contest. PSG made a series of changes from the hour mark, withdrawing Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia before eventually replacing Torres himself in the 77th minute.

The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model had flagged as most likely, assigning a 70% probability to a PSG win. Luis Enrique's side ground out a functional, professional victory despite Brest's territorial pressure throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'
Ferran Torres assist: Ousmane Dembélé
Kamory Doumbia Yellow Card
30' ▮
⇄ 39'
Achraf Hakimi ⇄ Fabián Ruiz
HT 0–1
⇄ 66'
Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Maghnes Akliouche
⇄ 66'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Désiré Doué
G. Versini ⇄ Joseph Nonge
66' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Warren Zaïre-Emery ⇄ Dro Fernández
⇄ 77'
Ferran Torres ⇄ Mika Godts
Joris Chotard ⇄ Lucas Tousart
78' ⇄
Kamory Doumbia ⇄ D. N´Guessan
78' ⇄
▮ 84'
Vitinha Yellow Card
▮ 87'
Dro Fernández Yellow Card
Bradley Locko ⇄ J. Bourgault
88' ⇄
FT 0–1
Stade Brestois 29

Match Stats

Paris Saint Germain
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 9
7 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 6
420 Total passes 646
352 Passes accurate 572
6 Free Kicks 12
Stade Brestois 29
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Egil Selvik G 7.6 90' – – – 35 (25%) –
2 Bradley Locko D 7.4 88' – – – 45 (40%) 2
19 Ludovic Ajorque F 6.9 90' – – 4 34 (29%) –
8 Hugo Magnetti M 6.7 90' – – 1 38 (35%) 3
4 Gautier Lloris D 6.7 90' – – – 41 (40%) –
13 Joris Chotard M 6.6 78' – – – 49 (43%) –
71 Raphaël Le Guen D 6.6 90' – – 1 43 (35%) 2
10 G. Versini M 6.5 66' – – – 17 (14%) 2
18 J. Bourgault D 6.4 2' – – – – –
29 Lucas Tousart M 6.3 12' – – – 3 (2%) 1
39 D. N´Guessan F 6.3 12' – – – 1 (1%) –
70 Kenny Lala D 6.2 90' – – – 41 (29%) 1
7 Joseph Nonge M 6.2 24' – – 1 6 (5%) –
9 Pathé Mboup M 5.9 90' – – 4 29 (21%) 1
23 Kamory Doumbia M 5.8 78' – – 4 37 (32%) –
Paris Saint Germain
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
39 Matvey Safonov G 8.5 90' – – – 19 (13%) –
9 Ferran Torres F 8.0 77' 1 – 1 31 (28%) –
2 Achraf Hakimi D 7.7 39' – – 1 27 (23%) –
51 Willian Pacho D 7.7 90' – – 1 52 (50%) 3
10 Ousmane Dembélé F 7.6 66' – 1 4 55 (49%) –
8 Fabián Ruiz M 7.2 51' – – – 55 (50%) –
25 Nuno Mendes D 7.2 90' – – 1 65 (55%) 2
87 João Neves M 7.1 90' – – 2 59 (53%) 3
5 Marquinhos D 7.0 90' – – – 65 (55%) 1
11 Maghnes Akliouche M 6.9 24' – – – 19 (18%) 3
17 Vitinha M 6.8 90' – – – 90 (84%) –
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery M 6.7 77' – – – 44 (39%) 1
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 6.6 66' – – 4 40 (34%) –
22 Mika Godts F 6.5 13' – – – 4 (4%) –
27 Dro Fernández M 6.5 13' – – – 2 (2%) –
14 Désiré Doué F 6.3 24' – – 1 15 (11%) –
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Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain

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Confidence High (70%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Paris Saint Germain zmaga ali remi
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Stade Brestois 29
LLWDD
Paris Saint Germain
WWWLD
Last 3 meetings Stade Brestois 29 · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Stade Brestois 29 will host Paris Saint Germain on September 13, 2026. PSG has consistently dominated the league with their attacking prowess, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season, largely driven by their star forwards. Brestois, while showing resilience, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The disparity in squad depth and experience should give PSG a significant edge, as they aim to secure crucial points in their title pursuit. Expect an aggressive attacking display from the visitors against a Brestois side that will need to bolster their defense to stay competitive.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
11%
10%
Draw
18%
45%
Away
70%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Stade Brestois 29
K. Doumbia 4 gls
Paris Saint Germain
Ferran Torres 4 gls
Marquinhos 3 gls

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Head to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain

0 Stade Brestois 29 Wins
0 Draws
3 Paris Saint Germain Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 May 2026 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Stade Brestois 29
25 Oct 2025 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
19 Feb 2025 Paris Saint Germain 7 - 0 Stade Brestois 29
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Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Auxerre L 2 - 1
13 Sep H Paris Saint Germain L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Le Havre W 1 - 2
29 Aug H Toulouse D 2 - 2
22 Aug A Le Mans D 2 - 2

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Marseille W 1 - 2
13 Sep A Stade Brestois 29 W 0 - 1
09 Sep H Slovan Bratislava W 6 - 1
04 Sep H Monaco L 1 - 2
28 Aug A Lille D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Paris Saint Germain

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luis Enrique
39 Safonov
25 Mendes
51 Pacho
5 Marquinhos
2 Hakimi
87 Neves
17 Vitinha
33 Zaïre-Emery
7 Kvaratskhelia
9 Torres
10 Dembélé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
87 João Neves M
10 O. Dembélé F
9 Ferran Torres F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F

Substitutes

12 L. Digne D
30 L. Chevalier G
11 M. Akliouche M
14 D. Doué F
27 Pedro Fernández M
22 M. Godts F
21 L. Hernández D
4 Beraldo D
8 Fabián Ruiz M

Stade Brestois 29

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Selvik
2 Locko
4 Lloris
71 Guen
70 Lala
8 Magnetti
13 Chotard
9 Mboup
23 Doumbia
10 Versini
19 Ajorque

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Selvik G
70 K. Lala D
71 R. Le Guen D
4 G. Lloris D
2 B. Locko D
13 J. Chotard M
8 H. Magnetti M
10 G. Versini M
23 K. Doumbia M
9 P. Mboup M
19 L. Ajorque F

Substitutes

20 L. Zogbe D
29 L. Tousart M
30 M. Patouillet G
7 J. Nonge Boende M
39 D. N´Guessan F
33 Enzo Monchatre F
32 L. C. Laine M. M
21 Ibrahim Yayiya Kante F
18 J. Bourgault D

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