Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

29 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Estac Troyes

Away

UI napoved Lorient zmaga

77%

18%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Lorient vs Estac Troyes prediction: Sportiko gives Lorient a 77% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 5% and the draw 18%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:46.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Lorient

WWLWD

Estac Troyes

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Lorient · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Lorient faces Estac Troyes in what promises to be a competitive Ligue 1 clash. Lorient has shown a solid home record in recent seasons, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Conversely, Estac Troyes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Both teams will look to secure vital points early in the campaign, but Lorient's offensive capabilities may give them the edge in this match-up.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	15	8	1
2	18	8	2
3	13	6	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 2–0 (18.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.5%	7.8%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.1%	7.6%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.3%	5.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.4%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lorient	Draw	Estac Troyes
Lorient	53.3%	1.9%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	12.4%	2.3%
Estac Troyes	1.7%	1.9%	2.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Estac Troyes

1 Lorient Wins

2 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Mar 2023	Lorient	2 - 0	Estac Troyes
23 Oct 2022	Estac Troyes	2 - 2	Lorient
21 May 2022	Lorient	1 - 1	Estac Troyes

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Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Guingamp	W	0 - 2
11 Jul	A Concarneau	W	1 - 2
17 May	H Le Havre	L	0 - 2
10 May	A Metz	W	0 - 4
02 May	A Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Grenoble	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	H Dunkerque	W	4 - 1
16 Mar	A Annecy	W	1 - 2
07 Mar	H Clermont Foot	W	2 - 1
02 Mar	A Amiens	W	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.