Monza vs AC Milan Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

03 Jan 2027, 17:30

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AC Milan

Away

UI napoved Monza ali neodločeno

35%

31%

34%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Monza proti AC Milan: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Monza na 35%, za AC Milan na 34%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 31%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Monza

WLDWL

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Monza · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Monza hosts AC Milan, a team with a strong attacking lineup. Monza has shown resilience at home, but their defensive record may be tested against Milan's potent offense, which boasts a high goals-per-game average. Milan is likely to dominate possession, with their midfield play being crucial in breaking down Monza's defense. Key players to watch include Milan's leading scorer, who can capitalize on any defensive lapses. Overall, this match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams needing to assert their game plan early.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Monza goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Monza

Gustavo Varela 4 gls

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

34%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	9.0%	6.4%	2.5%	0.8%
1	9.3%	14.8%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.7%	8.0%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.7%	3.2%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monza	Draw	AC Milan
Monza	19.5%	4.0%	1.6%
Draw	14.7%	20.1%	13.0%
AC Milan	2.1%	4.8%	20.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monza vs AC Milan

1 Monza Wins

0 Draws

2 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2025	AC Milan	2 - 0	Monza
02 Nov 2024	Monza	0 - 1	AC Milan
18 Feb 2024	Monza	4 - 2	AC Milan

Prikaži vseh 6 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Sassuolo	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Lecce	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Parma	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Udinese	L	2 - 3

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.