Parma vs Bologna Napoved
Napoved Parma proti Bologna: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Parma na 18%, za Bologna na 55%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 7 Nov 2026, 19:00.
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Match Report
Parma dominated possession and territory throughout but were dealt a critical blow as early as the ninth minute when Abdoulaye Ndiaye was shown a red card following a VAR review, leaving the hosts to play the vast majority of the match a man down. Despite that numerical disadvantage, Parma managed to keep Bologna at bay through a goalless first half, with both sides also forced into a series of substitutions before the interval.
Bologna made their advantage count in the second half, with Arthur Theate breaking the deadlock on 53 minutes. VAR played a central role in the closing stages, cancelling a Parma penalty before confirming two in Bologna's favour — Riccardo Orsolini converted from the spot on 72 minutes, and Vincent Sierro added a third via penalty on 81 minutes to seal the points. Parma pulled one back but ultimately could not recover.
The final scoreline perhaps flattered Bologna given Parma's 68% possession and 15 corners, though the red card proved the decisive turning point. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bologna victory as the most likely outcome at 55%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Parma
Match Stats
Parma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Giovanni Daffara G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (11%) | – |
| 8 Benjamin Cremaschi M | 6.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 12 (6%) | – |
| 4 Vincent Sierro M | 6.7 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | – |
| 76 Simone Lontani F | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | 3 | 2 (2%) | 2 |
| 14 Emanuele Valeri M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 13 (6%) | 5 |
| 23 Nesta Elphege F | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 15 Enrico Delprato D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (28%) | 1 |
| 37 Mariano Troilo D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 3 |
| 16 Mandela Keita M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 4 |
| 80 Giovanni Fabbian M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 19 El Bilal Touré F | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 27 Sascha Britschgi D | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | 3 |
| 32 Christian Ordoñez M | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 11 Pontus Almqvist F | 6.1 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 David Romero F | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D | 5.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Bologna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Arthur Theate D | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 52 (47%) | – |
| 7 Riccardo Orsolini F | 7.8 | 44' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 28 Nicolò Cambiaghi F | 7.7 | 75' | – | 1 | 2 | 37 (36%) | – |
| 36 Matteo Darmian D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 19 Lewis Ferguson M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 90 (86%) | 2 |
| 20 Nadir Zortea M | 7.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 16 Nicolò Casale D | 7.0 | 59' | – | – | 3 | 30 (28%) | – |
| 11 Samuel Mbangula F | 6.8 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 36 (35%) | 3 |
| 21 Jens Odgaard F | 6.8 | 59' | – | – | 3 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 33 Juan Miranda M | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 4 Tommaso Pobega M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 51 (45%) | 2 |
| 91 Roberto Piccoli F | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 5 Eivind Helland D | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 41 Martin Vitík D | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 1 Łukasz Skorupski G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 10 Federico Bernardeschi F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 9 | 59 (55%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowMatch summary
Live insights
Min 83: Bologna leads 1-2. Win probability: 95.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 4.2%.
Late goal makes it 1-2! Bologna win probability: 94.8%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 20.3%.
Min 76: Bologna leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.6%. Comeback chance: 0.4%.
Bologna now leads 0-2 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 34.8%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Bologna win: 88.2%. BTTS: 23.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Parma vs Bologna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Bologna | 0 - 1 | Parma |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Parma | 1 - 3 | Bologna |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Parma | 2 - 0 | Bologna |
Parma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Bologna | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Nov | A Atalanta | W | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | H Udinese | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Lazio | L | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Oct | H Torino | L | 0 - 3 |
Bologna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Parma | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Monza | W | 2 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A AC Milan | W | 2 - 4 |
| 24 Oct | A Cagliari | W | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Inter | L | 1 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Bologna
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ł. Skorupski | G |
| 36 | M. Darmian | D |
| 16 | N. Casale | D |
| 3 | A. Theate | D |
| 20 | N. Zortea | M |
| 19 | L. Ferguson | M |
| 4 | T. Pobega | M |
| 33 | Juan Miranda | M |
| 10 | F. Bernardeschi | F |
| 21 | J. Odgaard | F |
| 28 | N. Cambiaghi | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | M. Vitík | D |
| 23 | R. Alhassane | D |
| 8 | M. Amondarain | M |
| 9 | A. Dovbyk | F |
| 17 | O. El Azzouzi | M |
| 91 | R. Piccoli | F |
| 25 | M. Pessina | G |
| 7 | R. Orsolini | F |
| 6 | N. Moro | M |
| 11 | S. Mbangula | F |
| 18 | M. Libra | M |
| 14 | T. Heggem | D |
| 72 | U. Happonen | G |
| 5 | E. Helland | D |
Parma
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: A. Gilardino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G. Daffara | G |
| 15 | E. Del Prato | D |
| 37 | M. Troilo | D |
| 3 | A. N'Diaye | D |
| 8 | B. Cremaschi | M |
| 80 | G. Fabbian | M |
| 4 | V. Sierro | M |
| 16 | M. Keita | M |
| 14 | E. Valeri | M |
| 9 | D. Romero | F |
| 76 | S. Lontani | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | F. Carboni | D |
| 19 | E. Touré | F |
| 40 | E. Corvi | G |
| 7 | Ousmane Diallo | F |
| 34 | Diego Carlos | D |
| 23 | N. Elphege | F |
| 20 | M. Frigan | F |
| 22 | S. Ghidotti | G |
| 47 | Abdou Konate | M |
| 41 | H. Nicolussi | M |
| 32 | C. Ordoñez | M |
| 27 | S. Britschgi | D |
| 11 | P. Almqvist | F |