Juventus vs Napoli Napoved

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Allianz Stadium, Torino
UI napoved Juventus ali neodločeno
42%
29%
29%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Juventus proti Napoli: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Juventus na 42%, za Napoli na 29%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 29%. Zadnja posodobitev: 1 Nov 2026, 21:39.

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Match Report

Juventus secured a 2–0 home victory over Napoli in Serie A matchday 10, though the scoreline somewhat flatters the hosts in what was a tightly contested affair. The first half was goalless and disrupted by early bookings for Douglas Luiz, Jhon Lucumí, and Luca Marianucci, while both sides made tactical substitutions at the break, with Kevin De Bruyne and Weston McKennie among those introduced.

The match turned decisively in a frantic spell midway through the second half. Kerim Alajbegović broke the deadlock on 70 minutes, only to receive a yellow card moments later and be substituted off immediately after — a remarkable sequence of events. Marianucci's red card on 75 minutes then left Napoli a man down, effectively ending their hopes of a comeback despite their statistical dominance throughout; the visitors registered 18 total shots, four on target, and an expected goals figure of 0.87 compared to Juventus's 0.43.

Jérémie Boga wrapped up the points with a late 87th-minute goal to seal the result. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Juventus win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct despite the underlying numbers favouring Napoli.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Douglas Luiz Yellow Card
16' ▮
Jhon Lucumí Yellow Card
20' ▮
▮ 38'
Luca Marianucci Yellow Card
Weston McKennie ⇄ Federico Gatti
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Giovanni Di Lorenzo ⇄ Amir Rrahmani
⇄ 45'
Kevin De Bruyne ⇄ Billy Gilmour
HT 0–0
Randal Kolo Muani ⇄ Edon Zhegrova
59' ⇄
⇄ 61'
Matteo Politano ⇄ Antonio Vergara
Kerim Alajbegović assist: Edon Zhegrova
70' ⚽ 1–0
Kerim Alajbegović Yellow Card
71' ▮
Kerim Alajbegović ⇄ Jérémie Boga
72' ⇄
Jhon Lucumí ⇄ Lloyd Kelly
72' ⇄
▮ 75'
Luca Marianucci Red Card
⇄ 79'
Frank Anguissa ⇄ Giovane
⇄ 79'
Mathías Olivera ⇄ Sam Beukema
Juan Cabal ⇄ Andrea Cambiaso
82' ⇄
Jérémie Boga assist: Andrea Cambiaso
87' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 90+1'
Rafa Marín Yellow Card
FT 2–0
Juventus

Match Stats

Napoli
49% Ball Possession 51%
0.87 Expected Goals (xG) 0.43
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 2
13 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
440 Total passes 482
370 Passes accurate 420
10 Free Kicks 8
Juventus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Kerim Alajbegović M 8.2 72' 1 – 4 28 (24%) 1
3 Bremer D 7.6 90' – – 2 49 (43%) 1
13 Jérémie Boga F 7.5 18' 1 – 2 7 (7%) 2
32 Juan Cabal D 7.5 82' – – – 32 (24%) 2
20 Andrea Cambiaso D 7.2 8' – 1 – 10 (10%) –
25 Guglielmo Vicario G 7.2 90' – – – 23 (18%) 1
12 Douglas Luiz M 7.1 90' – – 1 70 (61%) 1
6 Lloyd Kelly D 7.0 18' – – – 17 (16%) –
11 Edon Zhegrova F 7.0 31' – 1 2 13 (13%) –
15 Pierre Kalulu D 6.9 90' – – 1 26 (20%) –
26 Jhon Lucumí D 6.8 72' – – 1 53 (46%) 1
8 T. Koopmeiners M 6.8 90' – – 1 40 (35%) 2
4 Federico Gatti D 6.7 44' – – 2 24 (20%) 1
22 Weston McKennie M 6.5 46' – – 1 20 (12%) –
9 Randal Kolo Muani F 6.4 59' – – 1 12 (9%) –
27 Nick Woltemade F 6.2 90' – – – 14 (11%) –
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Mathías Olivera D 6.7 79' – – – 36 (33%) 1
6 Billy Gilmour M 6.6 44' – – 2 36 (32%) –
1 Alex Meret G 6.5 90' – – – 45 (40%) –
13 Amir Rrahmani D 6.5 44' – – – 33 (31%) –
16 Rafa Marín D 6.4 90' – – 1 68 (62%) –
20 Lorenzo Lucca F 6.4 90' – – 2 5 (3%) –
23 Giovane F 6.3 11' – – – 4 (3%) –
31 Sam Beukema D 6.3 11' – – – 7 (7%) –
21 Matteo Politano F 6.2 61' – – – 17 (14%) –
26 Antonio Vergara M 6.2 29' – – – 6 (5%) 3
11 Kevin De Bruyne M 6.1 46' – – – 49 (38%) –
70 N. Lang F 6.1 90' – – 1 27 (20%) 1
8 Scott McTominay M 6.0 90' – – – 33 (31%) 2
99 Frank Anguissa M 5.9 79' – – – 48 (44%) –
35 Luca Marianucci D 5.9 75' – – – 52 (44%) 1
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D 5.8 46' – – 1 15 (12%) –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Juventus ali neodločeno
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Juventus
DWWLW
Napoli
DLLWD
Last 3 meetings Juventus · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Juventus faces Napoli in a crucial Serie A clash on November 1, 2026. Both teams have shown strong form, with Juventus typically boasting a solid defensive record, allowing an average of 0.8 goals per match this season. Napoli, on the other hand, has been prolific in attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Key players to watch include Juventus' leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Napoli's dynamic forward line that thrives on counter-attacks. This match will likely hinge on Juventus' ability to contain Napoli's attacking threats while exploiting any defensive vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
29%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Juventus vs Napoli

1 Juventus Wins
0 Draws
2 Napoli Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Jan 2026 Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli
07 Dec 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus
25 Jan 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus
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Juventus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Fiorentina D 2 - 2
05 Nov A AZ Alkmaar W 1 - 2
01 Nov H Napoli W 2 - 0
28 Oct A Genoa L 2 - 0
25 Oct A Lecce W 0 - 2

Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Lazio D 1 - 1
04 Nov A FC Porto L 4 - 1
01 Nov A Juventus L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Monza W 1 - 4
24 Oct H AS Roma D 3 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
11 9 2 0 +16 29
2
Inter
11 9 1 1 +15 28
3
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
4
AC Milan
11 7 3 1 +10 24
5
Como
11 7 2 2 +8 23
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
11 5 3 3 +3 18
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
11 4 3 4 +4 15
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Atalanta
11 4 2 5 -3 14
13
Genoa
11 4 1 6 -5 13
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
11 2 3 6 -8 9
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
11 2 1 8 -8 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Napoli

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Allegri
1 Meret
17 Olivera
16 Marín
35 Marianucci
22 Lorenzo
8 McTominay
99 Anguissa
11 Bruyne
70 Lang
20 Lucca
21 Politano

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
35 Luca Marianucci D
16 Rafa Marín D
17 M. Olivera D
11 K. De Bruyne M
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
8 S. McTominay M
21 M. Politano F
20 L. Lucca F
70 N. Lang F

Substitutes

26 A. Vergara M
14 N. Contini G
6 B. Gilmour M
23 Giovane F
13 Amir Rrahmani D
31 S. Beukema D
41 D. Spinelli G
18 F. Barido M
38 A. Chiummariello M
40 C. Lieto D
39 Nikita Melnyk M
36 Milton Agustín Pereyra F

Juventus

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: L. Spalletti
25 Vicario
32 Cabal
26 Lucumí
3 Bremer
15 Kalulu
17 Alajbegović
8 Koopmeiners
12 Luiz
22 McKennie
27 Woltemade
9 Muani

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 G. Vicario G
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
26 J. Lucumí D
32 J. Cabal D
22 W. McKennie M
12 Douglas Luiz M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
17 Kerim-Sam Alajbegović M
9 R. Kolo Muani F
27 N. Woltemade F

Substitutes

18 J. Ekhator F
20 A. Cambiaso D
13 J. Boga F
4 F. Gatti D
6 L. Kelly D
33 Neto G
23 C. Pinsoglio G
24 D. Rugani D
29 P. Sarr M
11 E. Zhegrova F

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