AC Milan vs Bologna Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

28 Oct 2026, 17:30

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Bologna

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Bologna

12%

26%

62%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved AC Milan proti Bologna: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za AC Milan na 12%, za Bologna na 62%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 26%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 15.7%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Bologna

DLDLL

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

AC Milan enters this match against Bologna with a strong home record, having secured 12 points from their last 5 Serie A matches. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2 goals per game, bolstered by key players contributing significantly to the scoreline. Bologna, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in their recent outings. If Milan can exploit Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their solid backline, they are likely to secure a crucial victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bologna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	16	14	8	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 0–1 (15.7%)

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Players in form

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

Bologna

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

26%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

26%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.5%	15.7%	14.4%	8.1%	3.4%
1	4.8%	11.8%	8.8%	5.0%	2.1%
2	1.9%	3.2%	2.7%	1.5%	0.6%
3	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
AC Milan	6.5%	3.2%	2.0%
Draw	5.3%	18.1%	21.9%
Bologna	0.6%	3.0%	39.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Bologna

3 AC Milan Wins

0 Draws

0 Bologna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Feb 2026	Bologna	0 - 3	AC Milan
14 Sep 2025	AC Milan	1 - 0	Bologna
09 May 2025	AC Milan	3 - 1	Bologna

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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Bologna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Torino	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Napoli	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Sassuolo	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Atalanta	L	1 - 0
24 Aug	H Lazio	L	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.