Fiorentina vs Como Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

18 Oct 2026, 16:30

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Como

Away

UI napoved Como ali neodločeno

29%

31%

40%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Fiorentina proti Como: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Fiorentina na 29%, za Como na 40%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 31%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Como

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Fiorentina enters this Serie A matchup against Como with a solid offensive record, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Their midfield stability and ability to control possession will be crucial in breaking down Como’s defense, which has struggled against high pressing teams. Como, on the other hand, has shown resilience but lacks consistency, with a defense that has conceded an average of 2 goals per match. Expect Fiorentina to leverage their attacking prowess and home form to secure a victory, while Como will need to improve their defensive organization to compete effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Como goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	8	3	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Como

M. Baturina 2 gls

Assane Diao 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Draw

31%

Home Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Draw

31%

Home Win

29%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	10.3%	7.9%	3.5%	1.2%
1	8.1%	14.7%	8.6%	3.8%	1.2%
2	5.3%	7.0%	4.6%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.9%	2.5%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Como
Fiorentina	16.7%	4.3%	1.9%
Draw	11.5%	20.0%	15.3%
Como	1.5%	4.4%	24.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Como

1 Fiorentina Wins

0 Draws

2 Como Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Como	1 - 2	Fiorentina
21 Sep 2025	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Como
16 Feb 2025	Fiorentina	0 - 2	Como

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Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Como — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Frosinone	L	2 - 0
14 Sep	H Parma	W	2 - 1
10 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	4 - 1
04 Sep	A Genoa	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Napoli	W	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.