Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

16 Jan 2027, 14:30

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FC Augsburg

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe FC Augsburg

17%

27%

56%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Hamburger SV proti FC Augsburg: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Hamburger SV na 17%, za FC Augsburg na 56%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

FC Augsburg

LDWWW

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV will face FC Augsburg, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Hamburger SV has shown inconsistency in their performances, currently sitting in the mid-table, while FC Augsburg fights to avoid relegation, often relying on a solid defensive strategy. Key players for Hamburg will need to step up, particularly in creating scoring opportunities, as Augsburg’s resilience could pose challenges. Given their differing motivations—Hamburg aiming for a higher table finish and Augsburg battling relegation—this match could be tightly contested.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Augsburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	12	12	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

FC Augsburg

M. Gregoritsch 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

27%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

27%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	12.3%	11.6%	6.5%	2.7%
1	5.3%	12.9%	9.6%	5.4%	2.3%
2	2.8%	4.7%	4.0%	2.2%	0.9%
3	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV	9.4%	3.7%	2.2%
Draw	7.3%	17.7%	19.5%
FC Augsburg	1.0%	3.8%	35.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg

0 Hamburger SV Wins

1 Draws

2 FC Augsburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	Hamburger SV	1 - 1	FC Augsburg
22 Nov 2025	FC Augsburg	1 - 0	Hamburger SV
13 Jan 2018	FC Augsburg	1 - 0	Hamburger SV

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Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

FC Augsburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Bayer Leverkusen	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	H FC Schalke 04	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Energie Cottbus	W	0 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.