1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

09 Jan 2027, 14:30

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SC Freiburg

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe SC Freiburg

18%

27%

56%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved 1. FC Köln proti SC Freiburg: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za 1. FC Köln na 18%, za SC Freiburg na 56%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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1. FC Köln

LDLWW

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings 1. FC Köln · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, 1. FC Köln faces SC Freiburg. Köln has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Freiburg has demonstrated a more balanced approach, scoring 1.5 goals per game and boasting a solid defense. Köln's home form will be critical; they need to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as Freiburg's away performances have been inconsistent. Expect a tactical battle, with Köln aiming to exploit Freiburg's defensive vulnerabilities while the visitors will look to counter effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	11	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	4	3	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ 1. FC Köln goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

1. FC Köln

No scorer data.

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

27%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

27%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	11.2%	11.0%	6.4%	2.8%
1	5.0%	12.7%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%
2	2.9%	5.0%	4.4%	2.6%	1.1%
3	0.9%	1.5%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	1. FC Köln	Draw	SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln	9.8%	3.8%	2.4%
Draw	7.3%	16.8%	19.2%
SC Freiburg	1.1%	3.8%	35.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg

1 1. FC Köln Wins

1 Draws

1 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	SC Freiburg	2 - 1	1. FC Köln
31 Aug 2025	1. FC Köln	4 - 1	SC Freiburg
04 May 2024	1. FC Köln	0 - 0	SC Freiburg

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1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hamburger SV	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Werder Bremen	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	3 - 2
24 Aug	A Würzburger Kickers	W	1 - 2

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.