Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

09 Jan 2027, 14:30

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Bayer Leverkusen

Away

UI napoved Bayer Leverkusen zmaga ali remi

20%

72%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Hamburger SV proti Bayer Leverkusen: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Hamburger SV na 8%, za Bayer Leverkusen na 72%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 20%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV faces Bayer Leverkusen. While Hamburger SV has shown resilience at home, Leverkusen's attacking prowess, highlighted by their high average goals per match, poses a significant threat. Leverkusen's recent form, with a solid win rate and strong possession statistics, suggests they may dominate the midfield battle. Hamburger SV will need to capitalize on set-pieces and quick counter-attacks to exploit any defensive lapses from Leverkusen. The match promises to be a tactical contest, with both teams aiming for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayer Leverkusen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	13	15	11	6	3
1	3	9	9	7	4	2
2	1	2	3	2	1
3			1
4
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 0–2 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

90% Away (No Draw) 10% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	12.9%	15.3%	11.1%	6.0%
1	2.7%	9.3%	9.0%	6.5%	3.6%
2	1.1%	2.4%	2.7%	1.9%	1.1%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV	4.1%	2.5%	2.2%
Draw	3.5%	12.9%	22.3%
Bayer Leverkusen	0.5%	2.6%	49.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen

0 Hamburger SV Wins

1 Draws

2 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 May 2026	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 1	Hamburger SV
04 Mar 2026	Hamburger SV	0 - 1	Bayer Leverkusen
17 Feb 2018	Hamburger SV	1 - 2	Bayer Leverkusen

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Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.