SC Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

19 Dec 2026, 14:30

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VfB Stuttgart

Away

UI napoved VfB Stuttgart ali neodločeno

28%

27%

44%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved SC Freiburg proti VfB Stuttgart: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za SC Freiburg na 28%, za VfB Stuttgart na 44%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

VfB Stuttgart

LLWWL

Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

SC Freiburg faces VfB Stuttgart in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Freiburg has shown resilience this season, particularly at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match. Stuttgart, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, where they have averaged 1.5 goals conceded per match. Key players to watch include Freiburg's midfield general, who has been pivotal in linking defense and attack, and Stuttgart's leading scorer, whose finishing ability could exploit Freiburg's backline. This matchup will likely hinge on Freiburg's ability to control the midfield and Stuttgart's counter-attacking prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VfB Stuttgart goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	7	4	2	1
1	5	13	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

VfB Stuttgart

J. Vagnoman 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 28% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.5%	7.4%	4.0%	1.7%
1	5.5%	12.9%	9.4%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.4%	7.3%	6.0%	3.3%	1.3%
3	1.9%	3.1%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg	16.4%	4.5%	2.6%
Draw	10.7%	16.4%	15.6%
VfB Stuttgart	1.9%	4.6%	27.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart

1 SC Freiburg Wins

0 Draws

2 VfB Stuttgart Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	VfB Stuttgart	1 - 0	SC Freiburg
13 Sep 2025	SC Freiburg	3 - 1	VfB Stuttgart
18 Jan 2025	VfB Stuttgart	4 - 0	SC Freiburg

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SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	L	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Viking	W	3 - 1
04 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	4 - 1
28 Aug	A Bayern München	L	5 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.