VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

12 Dec 2026, 14:30

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Union Berlin

Away

UI napoved VfB Stuttgart zmaga

79%

17%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved VfB Stuttgart proti Union Berlin: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za VfB Stuttgart na 79%, za Union Berlin na 3%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 17%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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VfB Stuttgart

LLWWL

Union Berlin

LLLDW

Last 3 meetings VfB Stuttgart · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

VfB Stuttgart faces Union Berlin in a Bundesliga clash on December 12, 2026. Stuttgart, known for their strong attacking play, currently averages 1.9 goals per match this season, while Union Berlin's defensive record shows they concede an average of 1.3 goals per game. Stuttgart's midfield control and pressing game could disrupt Union's build-up play. Additionally, Stuttgart's home form has been solid, boasting a win rate of 60% at home this season. This matchup could hinge on Stuttgart's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities against Union's resilient defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

79%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union Berlin goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	8	2
5	3	1

↑ VfB Stuttgart goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

VfB Stuttgart

J. Vagnoman 2 gls

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.8%	2.0%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.4%	6.5%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.5%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.7%	2.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	VfB Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart	54.6%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.5%	12.9%	1.7%
Union Berlin	1.3%	1.5%	1.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

0 VfB Stuttgart Wins

2 Draws

1 Union Berlin Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	VfB Stuttgart	1 - 1	Union Berlin
23 Aug 2025	Union Berlin	2 - 1	VfB Stuttgart
19 Apr 2025	Union Berlin	4 - 4	VfB Stuttgart

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VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	L	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Viking	W	3 - 1
04 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	4 - 1
28 Aug	A Bayern München	L	5 - 1

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.