SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

05 Dec 2026, 14:30

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1899 Hoffenheim

Away

UI napoved SC Freiburg ali neodločeno

38%

29%

33%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved SC Freiburg proti 1899 Hoffenheim: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za SC Freiburg na 38%, za 1899 Hoffenheim na 33%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 29%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

1899 Hoffenheim

LLWLL

Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In their upcoming Bundesliga clash, SC Freiburg faces 1899 Hoffenheim. Freiburg has shown resilience this season, currently maintaining a solid home record, which contributes to their confidence. Hoffenheim, however, has been inconsistent, struggling to find form on the road. Key players like Freiburg’s attacker, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, will be crucial for their success. If Hoffenheim can tighten their defense and exploit Freiburg’s vulnerabilities, they may secure valuable points in this match.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1899 Hoffenheim goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

1899 Hoffenheim

A. Daghim 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.8%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
1	7.5%	13.7%	8.0%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.5%	8.7%	5.8%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.1%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	1899 Hoffenheim
SC Freiburg	23.0%	4.6%	2.0%
Draw	14.0%	17.4%	12.5%
1899 Hoffenheim	2.2%	4.6%	19.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim

1 SC Freiburg Wins

1 Draws

1 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	1899 Hoffenheim	3 - 0	SC Freiburg
28 Sep 2025	SC Freiburg	1 - 1	1899 Hoffenheim
19 Apr 2025	SC Freiburg	3 - 2	1899 Hoffenheim

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SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	L	3 - 1
17 Sep	A OFI	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H VfB Stuttgart	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A 1. FC Köln	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.