FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

21 Nov 2026, 14:30

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FSV Mainz 05

Away

UI napoved FSV Mainz 05 ali neodločeno

35%

29%

36%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Augsburg proti FSV Mainz 05: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Augsburg na 35%, za FSV Mainz 05 na 36%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 29%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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FC Augsburg

LDWWW

FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings FC Augsburg · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05 are set to clash in a Bundesliga matchup. Both teams have struggled with consistency, with Augsburg sitting in 15th place and Mainz in 14th, highlighting their need for points. Augsburg has shown vulnerability at the back, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in their last five fixtures, while Mainz has been slightly more defensively resilient, allowing around 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include Augsburg's leading scorer, who has found the net multiple times this season, and Mainz's playmaker, who contributes significantly to their attacking play. This match could be crucial for both sides' relegation battles.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FSV Mainz 05 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	7	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FC Augsburg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Players in form

FC Augsburg

M. Gregoritsch 3 gls

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	7.5%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
1	7.3%	13.8%	8.4%	3.9%	1.3%
2	6.0%	8.3%	5.7%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.7%	3.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Augsburg	Draw	FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg	20.8%	4.6%	2.2%
Draw	13.0%	17.7%	13.5%
FSV Mainz 05	2.1%	4.6%	21.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05

0 FC Augsburg Wins

1 Draws

2 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 0	FC Augsburg
20 Sep 2025	FC Augsburg	1 - 4	FSV Mainz 05
08 Feb 2025	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 0	FC Augsburg

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FC Augsburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Bayer Leverkusen	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	H FC Schalke 04	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Energie Cottbus	W	0 - 2

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.