RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg Napoved
Napoved RB Leipzig proti SV Elversberg: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za RB Leipzig na 66%, za SV Elversberg na 15%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 19%. Zadnja posodobitev: 24 Oct 2026, 15:25.
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Match Report
RB Leipzig made it a comfortable home victory over SV Elversberg, though the opening 45 minutes produced no goals despite Leipzig's territorial control. The hosts dominated possession and created the clearer opportunities, yet the scoreline remained level at the break.
The second half told a very different story. Tidiam Gomis broke the deadlock three minutes after the restart, and Rômulo doubled the advantage on 66 minutes to effectively end Elversberg's hopes. Christoph Baumgartner added a third in the 84th minute before Rômulo completed the scoring deep into stoppage time with his second of the afternoon. The final xG figures — 2.28 for Leipzig against just 0.68 for Elversberg — underlined how thoroughly the hosts controlled proceedings, with Leipzig registering six shots on target to Elversberg's one.
Elversberg's afternoon was further complicated by a yellow card for Rocco Reitz at the hour mark, prompting an immediate substitution, while Lasse Günther also picked up a booking before being withdrawn. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved well-founded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
RB Leipzig
Match Stats
RB Leipzig
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Antonio Nusa M | 8.4 | 72' | – | 2 | 1 | 19 (14%) | 2 |
| 40 Rômulo F | 8.2 | 44' | 2 | – | 3 | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 27 Tidiam Gomis F | 7.9 | 87' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (13%) | 1 |
| 4 Willi Orbán D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 77 (74%) | 3 |
| 10 Brajan Gruda F | 7.7 | 28' | – | 1 | – | 15 (9%) | 3 |
| 3 Maxime Estève D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (65%) | 1 |
| 14 Christoph Baumgartner M | 7.4 | 18' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 39 Benjamin Henrichs D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (36%) | 7 |
| 35 Max Finkgräfe D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 5 |
| 30 Andrija Maksimović M | 7.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 2 A. Koné D | 7.1 | 3' | – | 1 | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 21 Neil El Aynaoui M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (41%) | 3 |
| 13 Nicolas Seiwald M | 6.8 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 1 Ørjan Nyland G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (29%) | – |
| 20 Rocco Reitz M | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 6 Ezechiel Banzuzi M | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 4 |
SV Elversberg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Felix Keidel M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | 3 |
| 8 Łukasz Poręba M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (42%) | 1 |
| 15 R. Adam F | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 2 |
| 39 Cole Campbell F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 25 Lukas Petkov M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (9%) | 1 |
| 9 Noel Futkeu F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 31 Maximilian Rohr D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (60%) | 2 |
| 26 Luca Sirch D | 6.1 | 31' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 3 |
| 42 David Mokwa F | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 11 (6%) | – |
| 40 Francis Onyeka M | 5.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 19 L. Pinckert D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (49%) | 2 |
| 30 Jan Gyamerah D | 5.7 | 59' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| 17 Frederik Schmahl M | 5.7 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 7 Maurice Krattenmacher M | 5.6 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 20 Nicolas Kristof G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | – |
| 21 Lasse Günther D | 5.4 | 82' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | 3 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
C. Nkunku
4 gls
Rômulo
4 gls
A. Nusa
4 gls
T. Gomis
3 gls
M. Krattenmacher
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
RB Leipzig — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H FC Augsburg | W | 5 - 2 |
| 04 Nov | H Manchester City | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Schalke 04 | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | A Rot-Weiß Essen | W | 1 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H SV Elversberg | W | 4 - 0 |
SV Elversberg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Oct | H FSV Mainz 05 | W | 4 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H SV Darmstadt 98 | L | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A RB Leipzig | L | 4 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H FC Augsburg | W | 4 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
RB Leipzig
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ø. Nyland | G |
| 39 | B. Henrichs | D |
| 4 | W. Orbán | D |
| 3 | M. Estève | D |
| 35 | Max Finkgräfe | D |
| 30 | A. MaksimoviÄ | M |
| 20 | R. Reitz | M |
| 21 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 6 | E. Banzuzi | M |
| 7 | A. Nusa | M |
| 27 | T. Gomis | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | R. Baku | D |
| 14 | C. Baumgartner | M |
| 10 | B. Gruda | F |
| 2 | A. Koné | D |
| 23 | C. Lukeba | D |
| 22 | D. Raum | D |
| 40 | Rômulo | F |
| 13 | N. Seiwald | M |
| 26 | M. Vandevoordt | G |
SV Elversberg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Wagner
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | N. Kristof | G |
| 30 | J. Gyamerah | D |
| 19 | L. Pinckert | D |
| 31 | M. Rohr | D |
| 21 | L. Günther | D |
| 43 | F. Keidel | M |
| 8 | Ł. Poręba | M |
| 25 | L. Petkov | M |
| 17 | F. Schmahl | M |
| 7 | M. Krattenmacher | M |
| 42 | D. Mokwa | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | R. Adam | F |
| 28 | T. Boss | G |
| 39 | William Cole Campbell | F |
| 6 | A. Condé | M |
| 9 | N. Futkeu | F |
| 3 | F. Le Joncour | D |
| 2 | N. Mickelson | D |
| 40 | Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka | M |
| 26 | L. Sirch | D |