SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Napoved

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
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URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
UI napoved Preblizu za napoved
39%
26%
36%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved SV Elversberg proti FC Augsburg: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za SV Elversberg na 39%, za FC Augsburg na 36%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 26%. Zadnja posodobitev: 17 Oct 2026, 15:39.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
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Match Report

SV Elversberg produced a dramatic home victory over FC Augsburg, racing into a commanding position inside the opening half-hour. Lasse Günther won and converted a penalty inside two minutes, and although Lukas Petkov missed his spot-kick moments later, he immediately made amends with a rebound goal before Günther added a second in the seventh minute. Maximilian Rohr pulled one back for Augsburg on 28 minutes, but a VAR-awarded penalty deep in stoppage time allowed Fabian Rieder to make it 3–2 at the break.

The second half proved equally chaotic. Michael Gregoritsch converted a penalty on 76 minutes to bring Augsburg level, though a VAR cancellation and a missed late penalty denied them further progress. Elversberg regained the lead through Frederik Schmahl on 89 minutes, and Mert Kömür sealed it in the 90th minute, with Noel Futkeu's injury-time penalty miss ensuring the hosts held on.

Elversberg dominated possession at 60 percent and mustered 26 total shots, though both sides registered eight efforts on target. Our pre-match AI model gave Elversberg a 39 percent win probability, a call that looked uncertain for long stretches before the late goals settled it.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lasse Günther Penalty confirmed
2' 🖵
Lukas Petkov Missed Penalty
4' ✗
Lukas Petkov
4' ⚽ 1–0
Lasse Günther assist: Maurice Krattenmacher
7' ⚽ 2–0
Maximilian Rohr assist: Felix Keidel
28' ⚽ 3–0
▮ 30'
Han-Noah Massengo Yellow Card
▮ 30'
Rodrigo Ribeiro Yellow Card
Jan Gyamerah ⇄ Luca Sirch
40' ⇄
Noah Darvich ⇄ Frederik Schmahl
40' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Marius Wolf ⇄ Anton Kade
⇄ 45'
Rodrigo Ribeiro ⇄ Michael Gregoritsch
⇄ 45'
Abdulay Juma Bah ⇄ Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
🖵 45+8'
Marius Wolf Penalty confirmed
⚽ 3–1 45+9'
Fabian Rieder Penalty
HT 3–1
▮ 52'
Chrislain Matsima Yellow Card
Felix Keidel Yellow Card
54' ▮
⇄ 74'
Arijon Ibrahimović ⇄ Mert Kömür
⇄ 74'
Robin Fellhauer ⇄ Young-woo Seol
L. Pinckert Yellow Card
75' ▮
⚽ 3–2 76'
Michael Gregoritsch Penalty
David Mokwa ⇄ Noel Futkeu
77' ⇄
Maurice Krattenmacher ⇄ R. Adam
78' ⇄
R. Adam Goal cancelled
79' 🖵
Nicolas Kristof Yellow Card
84' ▮
🖵 87'
Michael Gregoritsch Penalty cancelled
Frederik Schmahl assist: Lukas Petkov
89' ⚽ 4–2
⚽ 4–3 90'
Mert Kömür assist: Hennes Behrens
Felix Keidel ⇄ Amara Condé
90+3' ⇄
Frederik Schmahl Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
Noel Futkeu Missed Penalty
90+8' ✗
FT 4–3
SV Elversberg

Match Stats

FC Augsburg
40% Ball Possession 60%
2.89 Expected Goals (xG) 3.37
19 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 8
7 Blocked Shots 10
16 Shots insidebox 23
2 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 12
3 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
320 Total passes 461
249 Passes accurate 375
12 Free Kicks 14
SV Elversberg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 Maximilian Rohr D 7.7 90' 1 – 1 50 (44%) 2
25 Lukas Petkov M 7.5 90' 1 1 3 20 (12%) 4
20 Nicolas Kristof G 6.8 90' – – – 45 (35%) –
9 Noel Futkeu F 6.8 13' – – 2 3 (3%) –
15 R. Adam F 6.7 12' – – 1 1 (1%) –
7 Maurice Krattenmacher M 6.6 78' – 1 3 20 (13%) 3
17 Frederik Schmahl M 6.5 50' 1 – 1 9 (7%) 1
21 Lasse Günther D 6.4 90' 1 – 2 28 (17%) 6
43 Felix Keidel M 6.4 93' – 1 – 26 (22%) –
42 David Mokwa F 6.3 77' – – 2 9 (5%) –
19 L. Pinckert D 6.3 90' – – – 37 (32%) –
8 Łukasz Poręba M 6.2 90' – – 1 35 (31%) 4
30 Jan Gyamerah D 6.1 40' – – – 10 (9%) 1
10 Noah Darvich M 6.0 40' – – 2 3 (1%) 1
26 Luca Sirch D 6.0 50' – – – 20 (14%) 1
FC Augsburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Hennes Behrens M 7.7 90' – 1 – 39 (28%) 4
11 Michael Gregoritsch F 7.4 44' 1 – 3 14 (8%) 1
32 Fabian Rieder M 7.3 90' 1 – 2 60 (52%) 2
10 Mert Kömür M 6.9 16' 1 – 3 4 (3%) 1
1 Finn Dahmen G 6.7 90' – – – 34 (28%) –
21 Arijon Ibrahimović M 6.4 74' – – 3 28 (20%) –
35 Abdulay Juma Bah D 6.4 46' – – 4 28 (27%) 1
9 Rodrigo Ribeiro F 6.3 46' – – 2 8 (8%) –
2 Calvin Brackelmann D 6.2 90' – – 1 52 (45%) 2
4 Han-Noah Massengo M 6.0 90' – – 1 52 (42%) 1
6 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw D 6.0 44' – – – 31 (25%) 1
19 Robin Fellhauer M 5.9 74' – – 2 24 (19%) 1
7 Young-woo Seol D 5.8 16' – – – 7 (6%) –
27 Marius Wolf M 5.7 46' – – 4 19 (12%) 1
5 Chrislain Matsima D 5.7 90' – – 1 49 (42%) –
30 Anton Kade M 5.5 44' – – – 12 (10%) 1
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Preblizu za napoved
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SV Elversberg
LWLLW
FC Augsburg
LLWDL

Match summary

SV Elversberg faces FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash on October 17, 2026. Elversberg, a newly promoted side, has shown resilience but struggles with defensive consistency, conceding an average of 2 goals per match this season. In contrast, Augsburg has experience in top-flight football and boasts a more efficient attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match. Their midfield control could be crucial in dictating the tempo against Elversberg's pressing style. This match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams needing points to solidify their positions in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

SV Elversberg
M. Krattenmacher 4 gls
FC Augsburg
M. Gregoritsch 5 gls

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Head to Head: SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Borussia Dortmund L 2 - 1
30 Oct H FSV Mainz 05 W 4 - 1
27 Oct H SV Darmstadt 98 L 0 - 2
24 Oct A RB Leipzig L 4 - 0
17 Oct H FC Augsburg W 4 - 3

FC Augsburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A RB Leipzig L 5 - 2
31 Oct H SC Freiburg L 1 - 2
27 Oct A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach W 2 - 4
24 Oct H Union Berlin D 1 - 1
17 Oct A SV Elversberg L 4 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

FC Augsburg

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Baum
1 Dahmen
2 Brackelmann
5 Matsima
35 Bah
16 Behrens
32 Rieder
4 Massengo
27 Wolf
21 Ibrahimović
19 Fellhauer
9 Ribeiro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Dahmen G
35 Abdulay Bah D
5 C. Matsima D
2 C. Brackelmann D
27 M. Wolf M
4 H. Massengo M
32 F. Rieder M
16 Hennes Behrens M
19 R. Fellhauer M
21 A. Ibrahimović M
9 Rodrigo Ribeiro F

Substitutes

30 A. Kade M
14 Y. Keitel M
10 M. Kömür M
22 N. Labrović G
39 U. Ogundu F
37 T. Schnitzer M
7 Seol Young-Woo D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
11 M. Gregoritsch F

SV Elversberg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Wagner
20 Kristof
21 Günther
31 Rohr
19 Pinckert
30 Gyamerah
8 Poręba
43 Keidel
7 Krattenmacher
10 Darvich
25 Petkov
42 Mokwa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Günther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 Ł. Poręba M
25 L. Petkov M
10 Noah Darvich M
7 M. Krattenmacher M
42 D. Mokwa F

Substitutes

15 R. Adam F
28 T. Boss G
6 A. Condé M
9 N. Futkeu F
3 F. Le Joncour D
2 N. Mickelson D
17 F. Schmahl M
24 L. Schnellbacher M
26 L. Sirch D

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