FC Augsburg vs Bayern München Napoved

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
WWK Arena, Augsburg
UI napoved Bayern München zmaga ali remi
11%
14%
75%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FC Augsburg proti Bayern München: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FC Augsburg na 11%, za Bayern München na 75%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 14%. Zadnja posodobitev: 10 Oct 2026, 15:37.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
  • Away 2H Over 0.5 71%
  • Under 4.5 70%
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Timeline

Robin Fellhauer
1' ⚽ 1–0
Chrislain Matsima Yellow Card
42' ▮
Rodrigo Ribeiro Yellow Card
43' ▮
HT 1–0
🖵 51'
Luis Díaz Goal cancelled
⚽ 1–1 55'
Ismael Saibari assist: Harry Kane
Hennes Behrens Yellow Card
62' ▮
Young-woo Seol ⇄ Anton Kade
62' ⇄
Rodrigo Ribeiro
64' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 67'
Josip Stanišić ⇄ Nathaniel Brown
⇄ 67'
Ismael Saibari ⇄ S. Gnabry
Rodrigo Ribeiro ⇄ Mert Kömür
75' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 80'
Nathaniel Brown assist: Harry Kane
Arijon Ibrahimović ⇄ Michael Gregoritsch
82' ⇄
Abdulay Juma Bah ⇄ Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
82' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Aleksandar Pavlović ⇄ Tom Bischof
⇄ 87'
Luis Díaz ⇄ Lennart Karl
FT 2–2
FC Augsburg

Match Stats

Bayern München
30% Ball Possession 70%
2.45 Expected Goals (xG) 5.08
12 Total Shots 29
5 Shots on Goal 10
4 Shots off Goal 11
3 Blocked Shots 8
10 Shots insidebox 16
2 Shots outsidebox 13
5 Corner Kicks 9
1 Offsides 4
10 Fouls 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
8 Goalkeeper Saves 3
286 Total passes 647
215 Passes accurate 582
6 Free Kicks 10
FC Augsburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Rodrigo Ribeiro F 7.6 75' 1 – 2 14 (7%) 1
1 Finn Dahmen G 7.4 90' – – – 37 (15%) –
19 Robin Fellhauer M 7.4 90' 1 – 3 18 (11%) 2
5 Chrislain Matsima D 6.9 90' – – 1 23 (23%) 3
32 Fabian Rieder M 6.8 90' – – – 29 (23%) 5
2 Calvin Brackelmann D 6.7 90' – – 2 29 (24%) 2
11 Michael Gregoritsch F 6.5 8' – – – 3 –
35 Abdulay Juma Bah D 6.5 82' – – 1 23 (23%) 1
21 Arijon Ibrahimović M 6.4 82' – – 1 26 (18%) 2
30 Anton Kade M 6.3 28' – – 1 5 (5%) –
10 Mert Kömür M 6.3 15' – – – 4 (2%) 1
7 Young-woo Seol M 6.2 62' – – 1 22 (16%) 2
16 Hennes Behrens M 6.2 90' – – – 28 (25%) 7
4 Han-Noah Massengo M 6.1 90' – – – 24 (22%) 1
6 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw D 5.9 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
Bayern München
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Harry Kane F 8.2 90' – 2 8 20 (15%) –
11 Nathaniel Brown D 7.7 23' 1 – 2 18 (15%) –
34 Ismael Saibari M 7.5 67' 1 – 6 14 (11%) 1
45 Aleksandar Pavlović M 7.2 87' – – – 99 (90%) 1
17 Michael Olise M 7.2 90' – – 5 59 (54%) 1
6 Joshua Kimmich M 7.0 90' – – 1 123 (109%) 3
2 Dayot Upamecano D 6.9 90' – – 2 62 (57%) 3
14 Luis Díaz M 6.9 87' – – – 39 (36%) 2
19 Alphonso Davies D 6.8 90' – – 1 55 (51%) 1
7 S. Gnabry F 6.6 23' – – 2 16 (12%) –
1 Manuel Neuer G 6.5 90' – – – 17 (15%) –
44 Josip Stanišić D 6.4 67' – – – 47 (41%) –
4 Jonathan Tah D 6.3 90' – – – 56 (54%) –
8 Tom Bischof M 6.3 3' – – 1 12 (12%) 1
42 Lennart Karl M 6.2 3' – – 1 11 (10%) –
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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Bayern München zmaga ali remi
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FC Augsburg
LLWDL
Bayern München
WWDWW
Last 3 meetings FC Augsburg · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, FC Augsburg faces Bayern München. Augsburg has struggled against top-tier teams, with only 4 wins in their last 20 encounters against Bayern. Bayern, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging over 3 goals per game in their last few matches, while Augsburg has conceded an average of 2 goals per game in similar fixtures. Defensive solidity will be crucial for Augsburg if they hope to limit Bayern's scoring opportunities. Overall, Bayern's superior squad depth and attacking prowess make them the favorites in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
11%
10%
Draw
14%
45%
Away
75%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Augsburg
M. Gregoritsch 5 gls
Bayern München
M. Olise 6 gls
L. Díaz 4 gls
H. Kane 4 gls

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Head to Head: FC Augsburg vs Bayern München

1 FC Augsburg Wins
0 Draws
2 Bayern München Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Jan 2026 Bayern München 1 - 2 FC Augsburg
30 Aug 2025 FC Augsburg 2 - 3 Bayern München
04 Apr 2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 3 Bayern München
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FC Augsburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A RB Leipzig L 5 - 2
31 Oct H SC Freiburg L 1 - 2
27 Oct A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach W 2 - 4
24 Oct H Union Berlin D 1 - 1
17 Oct A SV Elversberg L 4 - 3

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A FSV Mainz 05 W 1 - 2
03 Nov A Atletico Madrid W 0 - 2
31 Oct H Borussia Dortmund D 2 - 2
28 Oct H 1. FC Magdeburg W 6 - 1
25 Oct A SC Freiburg W 1 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

Bayern München

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Kompany
1 Neuer
19 Davies
4 Tah
2 Upamecano
44 Stanišić
45 Pavlović
6 Kimmich
14 Díaz
34 Saibari
17 Olise
9 Kane

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Neuer G
44 J. Stanišić D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlović M
17 M. Olise M
34 I. Saibari M
14 L. Díaz M
9 H. Kane F

Substitutes

23 S. Boey D
11 N. Brown D
7 S. Gnabry F
21 H. Ito D
42 L. Karl M
3 Kim Min-Jae D
39 Bara Ndiaye M
40 J. Urbig G
8 T. Bischof M

FC Augsburg

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Baum
1 Dahmen
2 Brackelmann
5 Matsima
35 Bah
16 Behrens
32 Rieder
4 Massengo
7 Young-Woo
21 Ibrahimović
19 Fellhauer
9 Ribeiro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Dahmen G
35 Abdulay Bah D
5 C. Matsima D
2 C. Brackelmann D
7 Seol Young-Woo M
4 H. Massengo M
32 F. Rieder M
16 Hennes Behrens M
19 R. Fellhauer M
21 A. Ibrahimović M
9 Rodrigo Ribeiro F

Substitutes

37 T. Schnitzer M
8 K. Suso M
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
11 M. Gregoritsch F
30 A. Kade M
14 Y. Keitel M
10 M. Kömür M
22 N. Labrović G
39 U. Ogundu F

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