1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Napoved

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

10 Oct 2026, 13:30

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Hamburger SV

Away

UI napoved 1899 Hoffenheim zmaga

79%

17%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved 1899 Hoffenheim proti Hamburger SV: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za 1899 Hoffenheim na 79%, za Hamburger SV na 4%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 17%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.4%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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1899 Hoffenheim

LLWLL

Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Last 3 meetings 1899 Hoffenheim · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, 1899 Hoffenheim will face Hamburger SV. Hoffenheim has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Hamburger SV has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have had inconsistent performances, with Hoffenheim holding a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters. Key players to watch include Hoffenheim's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Hamburger SV's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. The match promises to be competitive, with both sides aiming for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

79%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamburger SV goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	15	7	1
2	18	7	1
3	14	6	1
4	8	3	1
5	4	1

↑ 1899 Hoffenheim goals · most likely 2–0 (18.4%)

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Players in form

1899 Hoffenheim

A. Daghim 2 gls

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.4%	7.4%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.4%	7.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.8%	5.5%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.8%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	1899 Hoffenheim	Draw	Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim	54.9%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	23.4%	11.9%	2.1%
Hamburger SV	1.7%	1.8%	2.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

3 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

0 Draws

0 Hamburger SV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Hamburger SV	1 - 2	1899 Hoffenheim
13 Dec 2025	1899 Hoffenheim	4 - 1	Hamburger SV
14 Apr 2018	1899 Hoffenheim	2 - 0	Hamburger SV

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1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	L	3 - 1
17 Sep	A OFI	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H VfB Stuttgart	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A 1. FC Köln	L	3 - 2

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.