Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Napoved

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

07 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Osasuna

Away

UI napoved Osasuna zmaga ali remi

22%

71%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Rayo Vallecano proti Osasuna: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Rayo Vallecano na 8%, za Osasuna na 71%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 22%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 16.5%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Osasuna

DLLLW

Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano faces Osasuna in a La Liga clash where both teams are vying for crucial points. Rayo Vallecano has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Osasuna has struggled defensively, conceding around 1.4 goals per game. The match will likely hinge on Rayo's attacking prowess against Osasuna's ability to maintain defensive stability. Key players to watch include Rayo's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent form, and Osasuna's midfield, which will need to control the pace to disrupt Rayo's rhythm. This matchup could be tightly contested, with both teams eager to climb the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

71%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Osasuna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	17	11	5	2
1	3	10	8	6	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 0–2 (16.5%)

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

90% Away (No Draw) 10% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	15.7%	16.5%	10.8%	5.3%
1	3.2%	9.7%	8.4%	5.5%	2.7%
2	1.1%	2.2%	2.2%	1.4%	0.7%
3	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano	4.1%	2.5%	1.9%
Draw	3.5%	15.0%	23.2%
Osasuna	0.4%	2.4%	47.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

60%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

0 Rayo Vallecano Wins

1 Draws

2 Osasuna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Osasuna	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
24 Jan 2026	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 3	Osasuna
14 Sep 2025	Osasuna	2 - 0	Rayo Vallecano

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Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.