Atletico Madrid vs Elche Napoved

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Elche

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Atletico Madrid

51%

27%

22%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Atletico Madrid proti Elche: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Atletico Madrid na 51%, za Elche na 22%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 27%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Elche

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid will face Elche in a La Liga clash on February 21, 2027. Atletico has consistently shown strength in defense, boasting one of the league's lowest goals conceded per match, while their attack has been effective, averaging over 1.5 goals per game. Elche, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, often finding it difficult to secure points against higher-ranked teams. Historically, Atletico tends to dominate matches against lower-table sides, making them the favorites in this encounter. The match will be crucial for both teams, with Atletico aiming to solidify their position in the top tier and Elche fighting to escape relegation.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

22%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	3	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Atletico Madrid goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.0%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
1	9.1%	12.7%	6.0%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.2%	9.9%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.4%	5.8%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.5%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Madrid	Draw	Elche
Atletico Madrid	34.4%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	16.1%	16.2%	7.7%
Elche	2.4%	4.3%	13.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Elche

0 Atletico Madrid Wins

1 Draws

2 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2026	Elche	3 - 2	Atletico Madrid
23 Aug 2025	Atletico Madrid	1 - 1	Elche
14 May 2023	Elche	1 - 0	Atletico Madrid

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Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.