Athletic Club vs Real Madrid Napoved

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Real Madrid

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Athletic Club

61%

25%

14%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Athletic Club proti Real Madrid: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Athletic Club na 61%, za Real Madrid na 14%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Athletic Club

DDWWL

Real Madrid

LWWWL

Last 3 meetings Athletic Club · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Athletic Club faces Real Madrid. Athletic Club's solid defensive record will be tested against Madrid's potent attack, which boasts one of the highest goal-scoring rates in the league. Both teams have been consistent, with Athletic averaging 1.5 goals per match and Madrid at 2.1. Set pieces could play a crucial role, as Athletic excels in aerial duels. The outcome may hinge on Madrid's ability to break down a disciplined Athletic defense while maintaining their own defensive solidity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Athletic Club goals · most likely 2–0 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.1%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.3%	11.8%	4.3%	1.2%	0.2%
2	12.1%	9.9%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.6%	6.3%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.6%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Athletic Club	Draw	Real Madrid
Athletic Club	39.9%	3.2%	0.8%
Draw	20.1%	15.4%	5.5%
Real Madrid	2.6%	3.9%	8.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Athletic Club vs Real Madrid

0 Athletic Club Wins

0 Draws

3 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 May 2026	Real Madrid	4 - 2	Athletic Club
03 Dec 2025	Athletic Club	0 - 3	Real Madrid
20 Apr 2025	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Athletic Club

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Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.