Malaga vs Racing Santander Napoved
Napoved Malaga proti Racing Santander: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Malaga na 39%, za Racing Santander na 33%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 7 Nov 2026, 14:59.
Premium napovedi
Premium- Gosti dosežejo gol 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
Match Report
Malaga took the lead through Carlos Dotor's goal on 28 minutes, and the home side carried that advantage into the break despite a lively first half that saw yellow cards for both Julen Agirrezabala and Adam Aznou. Racing Santander, who held the majority of possession and generated the higher expected goals figure of 2.44, looked the more threatening side across the 90 minutes.
The visitors turned the match around swiftly after the interval. Iker Luque levelled on 50 minutes before Yassir Zabiri put Racing ahead on the hour mark. Malaga's task became considerably harder when Adam Aznou received a second yellow card on 64 minutes, leaving the home side to defend with ten men for the remainder of the contest.
Racing managed the closing stages comfortably, seeing out a 2–1 victory that was well-supported by the underlying numbers. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Malaga win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that did not hold up on the night. The result moves Racing Santander to a positive return from matchday 12 of the La Liga regular season.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Malaga
Match Stats
Malaga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Carlos Dotor M | 7.8 | 82' | 1 | – | 3 | 36 (33%) | 3 |
| 12 Jose Salinas D | 7.1 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Chupete F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (17%) | 1 |
| 1 Alfonso Herrero G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 6 Ramón Enríquez M | 6.8 | 72' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 2 |
| 20 Fernando Calero D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (45%) | 4 |
| 5 Álex Pastor D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (44%) | – |
| 10 David Larrubia F | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | 7 |
| 14 Rafa Rodriguez M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 4 |
| 21 Adrián Niño Heredia F | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 8 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 31 Rafa Garrido D | 6.4 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 22 Dani Lorenzo M | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 42 (32%) | 3 |
| 4 Einar Galilea D | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 1 |
| 11 Joaquín Muñoz F | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 18 Pablo Martínez M | 6.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 39 Adam Aznou D | 5.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 3 |
Racing Santander
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Yassir Zabiri F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 13 Julen Agirrezabala G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 19 Iker Luque M | 7.5 | 88' | 1 | – | 5 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 18 Matteo Prati M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (63%) | 3 |
| 20 Sergio Canales M | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | 3 | 62 (54%) | 1 |
| 5 Pablo Ramón D | 7.1 | 82' | – | 1 | 1 | 65 (55%) | 5 |
| 24 Jeanuël Belocian D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (44%) | 1 |
| 17 Jorge Salinas D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (19%) | 5 |
| 22 Pedro Felipe D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (51%) | 1 |
| 15 Pablo García F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 5 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 7 Giorgi Guliashvili F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 8 André Almeida M | 6.4 | 17' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 3 |
| 6 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza M | 6.4 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 2 |
| 3 Aarón Martín D | 6.3 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Iñigo Vicente M | 6.1 | 73' | – | – | – | 66 (54%) | 1 |
| 23 Iván Martín M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Malaga vs Racing Santander
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowMatch summary
Live insights
Min 75: Racing Santander leads 1-2. Win probability: 86.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.9%.
Goal! Score now 1-2. Racing Santander win: 73.4%. BTTS: 100%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 43.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-0. Malaga leads. Win probability: 72.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.5%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Malaga win: 69.7%. BTTS: 61.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Adrián Niño Heredia
5 gls
M. Zabiri
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Malaga vs Racing Santander
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr 2012 | Malaga | 3 - 0 | Racing Santander |
| 21 Nov 2011 | Racing Santander | 1 - 3 | Malaga |
| 24 Apr 2011 | Racing Santander | 1 - 2 | Malaga |
Malaga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Racing Santander | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Real Betis | L | 2 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Alcazar | W | 0 - 3 |
| 23 Oct | A Alaves | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 5 |
Racing Santander — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Malaga | W | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Real Madrid | L | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | A Ribadesella CF | W | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Espanyol | W | 2 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Osasuna | L | 2 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Malaga
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Funes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alfonso Herrero | G |
| 31 | Rafita | D |
| 20 | Fernando Calero | D |
| 5 | Álex Pastor | D |
| 4 | Einar Galilea | D |
| 39 | Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh | D |
| 8 | Carlos Dotor | M |
| 6 | Ramón Enríquez | M |
| 22 | Dani Lorenzo | M |
| 21 | Adrián Niño Heredia | F |
| 9 | Chupe | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | J. Fernandez | F |
| 14 | Rafa Rodríguez | M |
| 12 | José Salinas | D |
| 15 | Ángel Recio | D |
| 25 | Juan Berrocal | D |
| 17 | Eneko Jauregi | F |
| 2 | J. Cajuste | M |
| 10 | David Larrubia | F |
| 13 | Carlos López | G |
| 18 | Pablo Martínez | M |
| 23 | Izan Merino | M |
| 11 | Joaquín Muñoz | F |
Racing Santander
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: José Alberto López
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Julen Agirrezabala | G |
| 5 | Pablo Ramón | D |
| 22 | Pedro Felipe | D |
| 24 | J. Belocian | D |
| 17 | Jorge Salinas | D |
| 23 | Iván Martín | M |
| 18 | M. Prati | M |
| 19 | Iker Luque | M |
| 20 | Sergio Canales | M |
| 10 | Iñigo Vicente | M |
| 21 | M. Zabiri | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | Juan Carlos Arana | F |
| 1 | S. Eriksson | G |
| 15 | Pablo García | F |
| 16 | Facundo González | D |
| 14 | M. Gueye | M |
| 7 | G. Guliashvili | F |
| 4 | Manu Hernando | D |
| 3 | Aarón Martín | D |
| 38 | H. Perez | F |
| 8 | André Almeida | M |
| 6 | Íñigo Sainz-Maza | M |
| 12 | Asier Villalibre | F |