Celta Vigo vs Alaves Napoved

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

18 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Alaves

Away

UI napoved Alaves ali neodločeno

23%

28%

49%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Celta Vigo proti Alaves: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Celta Vigo na 23%, za Alaves na 49%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Alaves

DLLWW

Last 3 meetings Celta Vigo · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Celta Vigo faces Alaves in a La Liga matchup on October 18, 2026. Celta currently sits mid-table, showcasing a solid home record with an attacking style that averages 1.5 goals per game. Alaves, however, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. The key battle will be Celta's offensive prowess against Alaves' backline, which has been inconsistent. Expect a competitive game, with Celta looking to capitalize on their scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alaves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	9	5	2	1
1	6	14	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Celta Vigo goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

28%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

28%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

68% Away (No Draw) 32% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	10.1%	9.3%	5.0%	2.0%
1	5.9%	13.5%	9.6%	5.1%	2.0%
2	3.9%	6.2%	4.9%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.3%	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
Celta Vigo	13.0%	4.2%	2.4%
Draw	9.3%	17.7%	17.4%
Alaves	1.4%	4.2%	30.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Alaves

1 Celta Vigo Wins

1 Draws

1 Alaves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Celta Vigo	3 - 4	Alaves
22 Nov 2025	Alaves	0 - 1	Celta Vigo
27 Jan 2025	Alaves	1 - 1	Celta Vigo

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Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.