Villarreal vs Elche Napoved

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
UI napoved Villarreal zmaga ali remi
65%
21%
14%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Villarreal proti Elche: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Villarreal na 65%, za Elche na 14%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 21%. Zadnja posodobitev: 17 Oct 2026, 16:13.

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Match Report

Villarreal dominated possession and created the clearer chances throughout this goalless draw against Elche at the Estadio de la Cerámica, though the hosts were ultimately unable to convert their superiority into goals. The Yellow Submarine controlled 58% of the ball and registered 20 total shots, generating an expected goals figure of 2.22 compared to Elche's modest 0.3, yet seven shots on target yielded nothing.

The pivotal moment came in the 63rd minute when a VAR review cancelled a penalty for Elche's Roy Revivo, preserving Villarreal's clean sheet and arguably denying the visitors a route back into the contest. Both sides made sweeping changes around the hour mark, with five substitutions apiece reshaping the game, though the tempo never truly lifted. Revivo then picked up a yellow card just 12 minutes after his penalty reprieve, adding further frustration to Elche's evening.

A flurry of late bookings — five yellow cards in total, including two in stoppage time for Foyth and Chust — reflected growing tensions as Villarreal pressed for a winner that never came. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 65%, though ultimately neither side could be separated.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 28'
Marc Aguado ⇄ Federico Redondo
▮ 38'
Gonzalo Villar Yellow Card
HT 0–0
🖵 63'
Roy Revivo Penalty cancelled
⇄ 65'
Lucas Cepeda ⇄ Tete Morente
⇄ 65'
Thomas Lemar ⇄ Martim Neto
⇄ 65'
Abiel Osorio ⇄ Fernando Niño
Santi Comesaña ⇄ Georges Mikautadze
66' ⇄
Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Pape Gueye
66' ⇄
Carlos Maciá ⇄ Nathan-Dylan Saliba
66' ⇄
▮ 71'
Tete Morente Yellow Card
▮ 75'
Roy Revivo Yellow Card
Ilias Akhomach ⇄ Gerard Moreno
75' ⇄
Alexander Freeman Yellow Card
81' ▮
⇄ 83'
Buba Sangare ⇄ Rubén Sánchez
Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Nizar El Jmili
84' ⇄
▮ 90+1'
Víctor Chust Yellow Card
Juan Foyth Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 0–0
Villarreal

Match Stats

Elche
58% Ball Possession 42%
2.22 Expected Goals (xG) 0.3
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 1
4 Shots outsidebox 6
10 Corner Kicks 5
6 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
524 Total passes 388
454 Passes accurate 311
6 Free Kicks 11
Villarreal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Logan Costa D 7.3 90' – – 3 77 (71%) 1
3 Alexander Freeman D 7.2 90' – – – 75 (67%) 1
14 Santi Comesaña M 7.1 66' – – 1 39 (38%) –
23 Sergi Cardona D 7.0 90' – – – 47 (39%) 1
25 Péter Gulácsi G 6.8 90' – – – 24 (22%) –
16 Carlos Maciá M 6.8 66' – – – 33 (28%) 3
24 Nathan-Dylan Saliba M 6.7 24' – – 1 11 (11%) –
8 Juan Foyth D 6.7 90' – – – 79 (72%) 2
7 Gerard Moreno F 6.6 15' – – 1 8 (6%) –
11 Ilias Akhomach M 6.6 75' – – 4 30 (21%) –
9 Georges Mikautadze F 6.5 24' – – – 7 (7%) –
18 Pape Gueye M 6.4 24' – – – 15 (9%) –
21 Tani Oluwaseyi F 6.3 66' – – 4 9 (8%) –
10 Alberto Moleiro M 6.3 90' – – 4 35 (26%) 1
27 Nizar El Jmili F 6.3 6' – – – 1 (1%) –
22 Ayoze Pérez F 6.1 84' – – 2 22 (17%) 1
Elche
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Matías Dituro G 7.9 90' – – – 50 (30%) –
47 Javi Morcillo D 7.1 90' – – 1 42 (33%) –
18 Thomas Lemar M 7.0 65' – – 1 30 (27%) 3
8 Marc Aguado M 6.9 28' – – – 9 (8%) –
5 Federico Redondo M 6.8 62' – – – 35 (33%) 1
21 Lucas Cepeda F 6.7 65' – – 1 22 (21%) –
23 Víctor Chust D 6.7 90' – – – 46 (41%) 3
22 Rubén Sánchez D 6.6 7' – – – 2 (2%) –
16 Martim Neto M 6.5 25' – – – 10 (10%) –
14 Fernando Niño F 6.5 25' – – 1 10 (7%) –
20 Tete Morente F 6.4 25' – – 1 5 (2%) –
11 Germán Valera D 6.3 90' – – – 34 (24%) 3
12 Gonzalo Villar M 6.3 90' – – 1 26 (21%) 2
3 Roy Revivo D 6.2 90' – – – 32 (29%) 1
2 Buba Sangare D 6.1 83' – – – 26 (19%) 1
24 Abiel Osorio F 6.1 65' – – 1 8 (4%) 1
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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Villarreal zmaga ali remi
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Villarreal
LLWWL
Elche
LWWDD
Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Villarreal enters the match against Elche having shown a solid record at home, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game this season. Their strong attacking line, led by key forwards, has been effective, contributing to a positive goal difference. Elche, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, which could be exploited by Villarreal's offense. The matchup will likely hinge on Villarreal's ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on Elche's defensive frailties. Overall, Villarreal is favored to take the three points if they can execute their attacking strategy effectively.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
65%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Villarreal

No scorer data.

Elche
Fer Niño 6 gls

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Elche

2 Villarreal Wins
0 Draws
1 Elche Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2026 Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche
03 Jan 2026 Elche 1 - 3 Villarreal
04 Feb 2023 Elche 3 - 1 Villarreal
Prikaži vseh 10 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H Paris Saint Germain L 0 - 6
30 Oct H Espanyol L 0 - 1
27 Oct A Manacor W 0 - 5
24 Oct A Valencia W 1 - 2
20 Oct A Liverpool L 4 - 3

Elche — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov H Valencia L 0 - 1
27 Oct A Pinatar W 1 - 3
24 Oct A Rayo Vallecano W 0 - 3
17 Oct A Villarreal D 0 - 0
11 Oct H Celta Vigo D 0 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Iñigo Pérez
25 Gulácsi
23 Cardona
2 Costa
8 Foyth
3 Freeman
10 Moleiro
16 Macia
14 Comesaña
11 Akhomach
21 Oluwaseyi
22 Pérez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 P. Gulácsi G
3 A. Freeman D
8 J. Foyth D
2 Logan Costa D
23 Sergi Cardona D
11 Ilias Akhomach M
14 Santi Comesaña M
16 C. Macia M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
22 Ayoze Pérez F
21 T. Oluwaseyi F

Substitutes

18 P. Gueye M
27 N. El Jmili F
15 S. Mouriño D
6 Pau Navarro D
7 Gerard Moreno F
9 G. Mikautadze F
20 Carlos Romero D
1 Luíz Júnior G
24 N. Saliba M
5 A. Diatta M
12 Renato Veiga D
28 Joselillo Gaitán F

Elche

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: M. Anselmi
1 Dituro
11 Valera
3 Revivo
23 Chust
47 Morcillo
2 Sangaré
18 Lemar
8 Aguado
12 Villar
21 Cepeda
24 Osorio

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Dituro G
2 Buba Sangaré D
47 J. Morcillo D
23 Víctor Chust D
3 R. Revivo D
11 Germán Valera D
12 Gonzalo Villar M
8 Marc Aguado M
18 T. Lemar M
24 A. Osorio F
21 L. Cepeda F

Substitutes

10 F. Buonanotte M
13 Alejandro Iturbe G
17 Josan M
15 K. Lomónaco D
16 Martim Neto M
14 Fer Niño F
9 E. Ponce F
5 F. Redondo M
22 Rubén Sánchez D
20 Tete Morente F
6 Bigas D
29 Ali Houary F

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