Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Napoved

La Liga · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Athletic Club

Away

UI napoved Athletic Club zmaga ali remi

21%

72%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Rayo Vallecano proti Athletic Club: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Rayo Vallecano na 7%, za Athletic Club na 72%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 21%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 17.4%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Athletic Club

DDWWL

Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this La Liga matchup, Rayo Vallecano faces Athletic Club. Rayo has shown a solid home record this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game while maintaining a defensive record of 1.2 goals conceded. On the other hand, Athletic Club has been consistent away, with a similar scoring average but slightly better defensive resilience, conceding only 0.9 goals per game. Key players to watch will be Rayo’s attacking spearhead, who has contributed significantly to their offensive output, and Athletic’s midfield engine, known for controlling possession. This clash could hinge on Rayo's ability to break down Athletic's structured defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Athletic Club goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	17	17	11	6	2
1	3	9	8	5	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 0–2 (17.4%)

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

92% Away (No Draw) 9% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	16.6%	17.4%	11.4%	5.6%
1	3.1%	9.2%	8.0%	5.2%	2.6%
2	1.0%	1.9%	1.8%	1.2%	0.6%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano	3.6%	2.3%	1.8%
Draw	3.1%	14.9%	23.7%
Athletic Club	0.3%	2.2%	48.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

63%

29%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

0 Rayo Vallecano Wins

1 Draws

2 Athletic Club Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Athletic Club
25 Aug 2025	Athletic Club	1 - 0	Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 2025	Athletic Club	3 - 1	Rayo Vallecano

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Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.