Chelsea vs Tottenham Napoved

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Stamford Bridge, London
UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Chelsea
50%
25%
24%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Chelsea proti Tottenham: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Chelsea na 50%, za Tottenham na 24%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 25%. Zadnja posodobitev: 24 Oct 2026, 18:25.

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  • Domači ali neodločeno 76%
  • Gosti dosežejo gol 72%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Chelsea dominated possession throughout but were unable to convert their superiority into goals, as a goalless first half gave little indication of the drama that would follow after the break. Despite controlling 69% of the ball and registering 15 shots to Tottenham's seven, Chelsea's expected goals figure of just 0.8 reflected their struggles to create clear-cut chances.

The second half unravelled badly for the hosts. A chaotic spell around the 70-minute mark saw five yellow cards distributed across both sides, before Chelsea's afternoon took a decisive turn when Cole Palmer was shown a red card on 80 minutes. Sandwiched between the bookings, an own goal from Mike Penders on 77 minutes handed Tottenham the lead against the run of play, and substitute Mathys Tel sealed the victory with a clinical finish three minutes from time.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Chelsea win as the most likely outcome at 50%, a call that proved wide of the mark. Tottenham, despite their limited possession and just four shots on target, showed ruthless efficiency to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 51'
James Maddison ⇄ Conor Gallagher
J. Hato ⇄ Marco Palestra
65' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Omar Marmoush ⇄ Dominic Solanke
⇄ 65'
Andy Robertson ⇄ Pedro Porro
▮ 67'
Conor Gallagher Yellow Card
▮ 71'
M. van de Ven Yellow Card
Cole Palmer Yellow Card
71' ▮
▮ 72'
Mateus Fernandes Yellow Card
▮ 72'
Yellow Card
Geovany Quenda ⇄ Estêvão
72' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 77'
Mike Penders Own Goal
Pedro Neto Yellow Card
79' ▮
Cole Palmer Red Card
80' ▮
⚽ 0–2 87'
Mathys Tel
Pedro Neto ⇄ Danny Welbeck
88' ⇄
⇄ 89'
Mathys Tel ⇄ Ben Davies
⇄ 89'
Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani ⇄ D. Kulusevski
Morgan Rogers Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 0–2
Chelsea

Match Stats

Tottenham
31% Ball Possession 69%
0.51 Expected Goals (xG) 0.8
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
286 Total passes 639
214 Passes accurate 554
12 Free Kicks 14
Chelsea
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Levi Colwill D 7.0 90' – – – 50 (43%) 3
5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.9 90' – – – 27 (25%) 2
18 Danny Welbeck F 6.7 2' – – – – –
21 J. Hato M 6.5 65' – – – 20 (18%) 4
25 Moisés Caicedo M 6.4 90' – – – 31 (25%) 2
41 Estêvão F 6.4 18' – – 1 4 (4%) –
34 Josh Acheampong D 6.3 90' – – – 12 (5%) 3
7 Pedro Neto M 6.2 88' – – 2 12 (10%) 3
2 Marco Palestra D 6.1 25' – – – 5 (2%) –
23 Geovany Quenda M 6.1 72' – – – 12 (10%) 2
14 Jordan Henderson M 5.8 90' – – 1 27 (17%) 1
10 Cole Palmer M 5.8 80' – – 2 19 (15%) –
17 Morgan Rogers F 5.7 90' – – 1 19 (14%) 1
39 Mike Penders G 5.6 90' – – – 38 (20%) –
Tottenham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Mathys Tel M 8.2 89' 1 – 2 39 (33%) –
6 J. van Hecke D 7.8 90' – – – 95 (81%) 2
31 Antonín Kinský G 7.8 90' – – – 48 (35%) –
14 Archie Gray D 7.5 90' – – – 34 (29%) 2
3 Andy Robertson D 7.2 65' – – 1 51 (42%) –
23 Pedro Porro D 7.2 25' – – 1 13 (10%) –
37 M. van de Ven D 7.1 90' – – – 81 (78%) –
16 Sandro Tonali M 7.1 90' – – 2 59 (53%) 3
20 Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani M 7.0 89' – – 2 29 (25%) 3
33 Ben Davies D 7.0 1' – – – 5 (5%) –
8 Conor Gallagher M 6.9 39' – – 2 14 (11%) 1
21 D. Kulusevski M 6.9 1' – – 1 4 (2%) 1
10 James Maddison M 6.8 51' – – – 42 (36%) 1
18 Mateus Fernandes M 6.7 90' – – 1 95 (88%) 5
19 Dominic Solanke F 6.6 25' – – – 3 (3%) –
22 Omar Marmoush F 6.3 65' – – 3 13 (11%) –
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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Chelsea
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Chelsea
WDLWW
Tottenham
LWWWD
Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Chelsea and Tottenham, both teams enter with contrasting form. Chelsea's recent offensive output has been strong, averaging 2.1 goals per match over their last five games, while their defensive record has shown improvement, conceding only 1 goal per match in the same period. On the other hand, Tottenham has struggled with consistency, particularly in defense, allowing an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last five outings. Key players like Chelsea's attacking pivot and Tottenham's top scorer will be crucial in determining the match's outcome. The tactical battle between the two managers will also be pivotal in shaping the game's dynamics.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Chelsea
João Pedro 5 gls
M. Rogers 5 gls
Pedro Neto 3 gls
Tottenham

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Tottenham

2 Chelsea Wins
0 Draws
1 Tottenham Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Aug 2026 Chelsea 1 - 2 Tottenham
19 May 2026 Chelsea 2 - 1 Tottenham
01 Nov 2025 Tottenham 0 - 1 Chelsea
Prikaži vseh 10 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H Manchester United W 2 - 0
28 Oct A Liverpool D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Tottenham L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Everton W 0 - 2
10 Oct H Bournemouth W 5 - 1

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Leeds L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Crystal Palace W 2 - 0
24 Oct A Chelsea W 0 - 2
19 Oct H Coventry W 3 - 1
10 Oct A Manchester United D 1 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Tottenham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. De Zerbi
31 Kinský
3 Robertson
37 Ven
6 Hecke
14 Gray
16 Tonali
18 Fernandes
11 Tel
10 Maddison
20 Kudus
22 Marmoush

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 A. Kinský G
14 A. Gray D
6 J. van Hecke D
37 M. van de Ven D
3 A. Robertson D
18 Mateus Fernandes M
16 S. Tonali M
20 M. Kudus M
10 J. Maddison M
11 M. Tel M
22 Omar Marmoush F

Substitutes

19 D. Solanke F
68 L. Williams-Barnett M
52 Callum Latif Olusesi M
21 D. Kulusevski M
8 C. Gallagher M
33 B. Davies D
23 Pedro Porro D
5 M. Senesi D
39 M. Dúbravka G

Chelsea

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Xabi Alonso
39 Penders
6 Colwill
5 Lacroix
34 Acheampong
21 Hato
14 Henderson
25 Caicedo
7 Neto
23 Quenda
10 Palmer
17 Rogers

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Penders G
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 L. Colwill D
7 Pedro Neto M
25 M. Caicedo M
14 J. Henderson M
21 J. Hato M
10 C. Palmer M
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda M
17 M. Rogers F

Substitutes

28 T. Sharman-Lowe G
27 M. Gusto D
2 M. Palestra D
4 V. Barco M
45 R. Lavia M
32 M. Nicoll-Jazuli M
41 Estêvão F
18 D. Welbeck F
3 W. Fofana D

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