Manchester United vs Bournemouth Napoved

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Old Trafford, Manchester
UI napoved Manchester United ali neodločeno
40%
28%
32%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Manchester United proti Bournemouth: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Manchester United na 40%, za Bournemouth na 32%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 25 Oct 2026, 15:56.

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Match Report

Manchester United suffered a chastening home defeat, going down 3-0 to Bournemouth in a result that will raise serious questions about the hosts' defensive fragility. Despite dominating possession at 62%, United were undone by a clinical visiting side who made their chances count when it mattered most.

The opening half was particularly damaging for United. Rayan broke the deadlock in the 38th minute before Marcus Tavernier doubled Bournemouth's advantage five minutes later, sending the teams into the break with the tie already looking beyond the hosts. The first half was also marked by a flurry of bookings, with yellow cards shown to Santos, Adams, Heaven, Tielemans, and Maguire, reflecting the fractious nature of the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester United win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.

Evanilson sealed the win on 71 minutes, converting Bournemouth's fourth shot on target to complete a thoroughly deserved victory. The expected goals figures told the full story — United managed just 0.95 despite their territorial dominance, while Bournemouth's 2.23 underlined how efficiently they exploited their opportunities on the counter.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Andrey Santos Yellow Card
22' ▮
▮ 27'
Tyler Adams Yellow Card
Ayden Heaven Yellow Card
37' ▮
⚽ 0–1 38'
Rayan assist: J. Kluivert
Youri Tielemans Yellow Card
40' ▮
⚽ 0–2 43'
Marcus Tavernier assist: Adrien Truffert
Youri Tielemans ⇄ Matheus Cunha
45' ⇄
Harry Maguire Yellow Card
45+3' ▮
HT 0–2
⇄ 63'
J. Kluivert ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak
Ayden Heaven ⇄ Lisandro Martínez
65' ⇄
⚽ 0–3 71'
Evanilson assist: Lewis Cook
Carlos Baleba ⇄ Joshua Zirkzee
72' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Lewis Cook ⇄ Ryan Christie
Amad Diallo ⇄ Shea Lacey
78' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Amine Adli
⇄ 87'
Evanilson ⇄ Eli Junior Kroupi
⇄ 87'
Adam Smith ⇄ Bafodé Diakité
FT 0–3
Manchester United

Match Stats

Bournemouth
62% Ball Possession 38%
0.95 Expected Goals (xG) 2.23
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 9
9 Shots outsidebox 1
5 Corner Kicks 4
0 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
618 Total passes 367
512 Passes accurate 264
16 Free Kicks 13
Manchester United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Leny Yoro D 6.9 90' – – 1 69 (62%) 2
10 Matheus Cunha F 6.6 44' – – 2 28 (22%) 2
17 Andrey Santos M 6.5 90' – – 1 73 (66%) 4
19 Bryan Mbeumo F 6.5 90' – – 2 28 (20%) –
31 Shea Lacey F 6.4 12' – – 2 11 (7%) 1
11 Joshua Zirkzee F 6.4 18' – – 1 7 (5%) –
16 Amad Diallo M 6.3 78' – – 1 31 (27%) –
7 Mason Mount M 6.3 90' – – 3 55 (45%) 2
20 Carlos Baleba M 6.2 72' – – 1 48 (42%) 1
26 Ayden Heaven D 6.2 65' – – – 60 (51%) 1
6 Lisandro Martínez D 6.1 25' – – 1 19 (18%) –
5 Harry Maguire D 6.1 90' – – – 82 (71%) –
1 Senne Lammens G 5.8 90' – – – 36 (27%) –
2 Diogo Dalot D 5.7 90' – – 1 55 (36%) 3
18 Youri Tielemans M 5.3 46' – – – 16 (13%) –
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Marcus Tavernier M 8.2 87' 1 – 1 18 (14%) 1
9 Evanilson F 8.1 87' 1 – 4 17 (13%) 1
19 J. Kluivert M 7.7 63' – 1 – 16 (14%) –
37 Rayan M 7.5 90' 1 – 5 28 (21%) 2
14 António Silva D 7.5 90' – – – 52 (40%) 2
10 Ryan Christie M 7.4 15' – – – 13 (11%) 4
5 James Hill D 7.1 90' – – – 53 (38%) 7
4 Lewis Cook M 7.1 75' – 1 – 25 (17%) 1
15 Adam Smith D 7.0 87' – – – 26 (20%) –
18 Bafodé Diakité D 7.0 3' – – – 1 (1%) 1
3 Adrien Truffert D 6.8 90' – 1 – 36 (22%) 2
12 Tyler Adams M 6.6 90' – – – 38 (33%) 2
1 Đorđe Petrović G 6.6 90' – – – 33 (16%) –
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F 6.5 27' – – – 7 (3%) 1
21 Amine Adli F 6.4 3' – – – 3 –
22 Eli Junior Kroupi F 6.2 3' – – – 1 (1%) 1
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Manchester United ali neodločeno
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Manchester United
WLLLD
Bournemouth
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings Manchester United · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Manchester United will face Bournemouth. Manchester United has a strong attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season, while Bournemouth has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game. With United's potent offense led by key players, they will look to exploit Bournemouth's vulnerabilities. However, Bournemouth has shown resilience in away fixtures, securing crucial points against stronger opponents. This match could hinge on United's ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on set-pieces.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
32%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Manchester United
B. Mbeumo 4 gls
Bournemouth
M. Tavernier 5 gls
Evanilson 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Manchester United vs Bournemouth

0 Manchester United Wins
3 Draws
0 Bournemouth Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Mar 2026 Bournemouth 2 - 2 Manchester United
15 Dec 2025 Manchester United 4 - 4 Bournemouth
27 Apr 2025 Bournemouth 1 - 1 Manchester United
Prikaži vseh 10 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H AS Roma W 3 - 2
31 Oct A Chelsea L 2 - 0
25 Oct H Bournemouth L 0 - 3
21 Oct A Como L 4 - 1
18 Oct A Leeds D 1 - 1

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Ipswich W 0 - 1
05 Nov A Sparta Praha W 1 - 3
31 Oct H Leeds W 2 - 0
28 Oct H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
25 Oct A Manchester United W 0 - 3

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Manchester United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Carrick
1 Lammens
2 Dalot
26 Heaven
5 Maguire
15 Yoro
20 Baleba
17 Santos
7 Mount
18 Tielemans
16 Diallo
19 Mbeumo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Lammens G
15 L. Yoro D
5 H. Maguire D
26 A. Heaven D
2 Diogo Dalot D
17 Andrey Santos M
20 C. Baleba M
16 A. Diallo M
18 Y. Tielemans M
7 M. Mount M
19 B. Mbeumo F

Substitutes

31 S. Lacey F
8 Bruno Fernandes M
3 N. Mazraoui D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
4 M. de Ligt D
12 K. Darlow G
10 Matheus Cunha F
11 J. Zirkzee F
39 T. Fletcher M

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Rose
1 Petrović
3 Truffert
14 Silva
5 Hill
15 Smith
4 Cook
12 Adams
16 Tavernier
19 Kluivert
37 Rayan
9 Evanilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Đ. Petrović G
15 A. Smith D
5 J. Hill D
14 António Silva D
3 A. Truffert D
12 T. Adams M
4 L. Cook M
37 Rayan M
19 J. Kluivert M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 Evanilson F

Substitutes

30 Á. Rodríguez F
20 M. Di Gregorio G
6 J. Soler D
18 B. Diakité D
7 D. Brooks M
10 R. Christie M
11 B. Doak F
21 A. Adli F
22 E. Kroupi F

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