ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Napoved

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

01 Aug 2026, 15:00

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Torpedo Zhodino

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe ML Vitebsk

55%

26%

19%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved ML Vitebsk proti Torpedo Zhodino: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za ML Vitebsk na 55%, za Torpedo Zhodino na 19%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 26%. Zadnja posodobitev: 27 Jul 2026, 09:07.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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ML Vitebsk

WDDDW

Torpedo Zhodino

LLLWD

Last 1 meetings ML Vitebsk · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, ML Vitebsk will face Torpedo Zhodino. Vitebsk has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per match at home this season, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, Torpedo Zhodino's away performance has been inconsistent, with a goal-scoring average of 0.8 goals per match and a defensive record of 1.5 goals conceded. Key players to watch will be Vitebsk's top scorer, who has netted five goals this season, and Zhodino's goalkeeper, who leads the league in saves. This match could hinge on Vitebsk's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities against Zhodino's leaky defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Torpedo Zhodino goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	2
1	15	11	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	9	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ ML Vitebsk goals · most likely 1–0 (14.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	4.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
1	14.9%	11.3%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.6%	9.0%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.7%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.9%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ML Vitebsk	Draw	Torpedo Zhodino
ML Vitebsk	44.1%	3.1%	0.6%
Draw	19.7%	16.7%	4.8%
Torpedo Zhodino	1.8%	3.0%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

1 ML Vitebsk Wins

0 Draws

0 Torpedo Zhodino Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Torpedo Zhodino	0 - 1	ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Arsenal	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Dinamo Minsk	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Belshina	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Brest	W	1 - 3

Torpedo Zhodino — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Vitebsk	L	6 - 0
12 Sep	A Neman	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H FC Gomel	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Arsenal	W	2 - 4
24 Aug	H FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	37	18	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42	17	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	37	16	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	38	23	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33	18	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26	20	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28	21	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30	28	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28	29	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23	26	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	24	38	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	24	41	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	22	36	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	16	27	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20	36	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20	54	-34	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.