FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne Napoved

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
5 : 0
HT 2 - 0
Prva tekma 4-0 · Skupaj 9-0
UI napoved FK Crvena Zvezda zmaga
84%
11%
5%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved FK Crvena Zvezda proti Larne: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za FK Crvena Zvezda na 84%, za Larne na 5%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 11%. Zadnja posodobitev: 29 Jul 2026, 19:56.

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Match Report

FK Crvena Zvezda produced a commanding performance to dismantle Larne 5–0 in the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round, with the Serbian giants never in serious danger throughout. Aleksandar Katai opened the scoring as early as the third minute, though a second effort from the winger was correctly ruled out for offside by VAR. Marko Arnautović added a crucial second deep into first-half stoppage time to send the hosts in firmly in control at the break.

The second half brought more of the same, with Loizos Loizou extending the lead just four minutes after the restart. Arnautović then grabbed his second of the night on the hour mark, and Osman Bukari rounded off the scoring with a fifth goal in the 79th minute to complete a thoroughly convincing victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Crvena Zvezda win at 84% — a call that proved well-founded.

Larne, the Northern Irish visitors, offered little resistance across the ninety minutes as Red Star's quality told emphatically. The aggregate scoreline leaves the tie all but settled heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Aleksandar Katai assist: Miloš Veljković
3' ⚽ 1–0
Aleksandar Katai Goal Disallowed - offside
16' 🖵
Marko Arnautović assist: Miloš Veljković
45+4' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
⇄ 46'
⇄ P. O'Neill
Loizos Loizou
49' ⚽ 3–0
Marko Arnautović assist: Young-woo Seol
60' ⚽ 4–0
⇄ 60'
⇄ J. Simpson
⇄ 60'
J. McEneff
Loizos Loizou ⇄ Osman Bukari
63' ⇄
Matej Strika ⇄ Nair Tiknizyan
64' ⇄
Rade Krunić ⇄ Timi Max Elšnik
64' ⇄
Young-woo Seol
70' ⇄
⇄ 70'
⇄ C. McKendry
Mohammad Abu Fani ⇄ Mirko Ivanić
77' ⇄
Osman Bukari assist: Aleksandar Katai
79' ⚽ 5–0
⇄ 79'
S. Graham
FT 5–0
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Confidence High (84%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
FK Crvena Zvezda zmaga
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FK Crvena Zvezda
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Larne
WWWWW
Last 1 meetings FK Crvena Zvezda · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

FK Crvena Zvezda comes into this UEFA Champions League match with a strong home record, historically performing well in this competition. Their squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by consistent offensive output, make them formidable opponents. Larne, while competitive in their domestic league, may struggle against the tactical discipline and experience of Crvena Zvezda. Key players for both teams will be crucial, but the home side's familiarity with high-stakes matches could prove decisive. Expect a tightly contested match with Crvena Zvezda likely favored to secure a positive result.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
84%
45%
Draw
11%
45%
Away
5%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne

1 FK Crvena Zvezda Wins
0 Draws
0 Larne Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Jul 2026 Larne 0 - 4 FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Radnicki NIS W 3 - 0
17 Sep A Železničar Pančevo W 1 - 2
13 Sep A IMT Novi Beograd W 0 - 1
10 Sep A Radnik Surdulica D 0 - 0
06 Sep H FK Partizan W 2 - 1

Larne — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Carrick Rangers W 2 - 5
15 Sep H Cliftonville FC W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Portadown W 0 - 2
08 Sep H Bangor W 1 - 0
04 Sep H Glentoran W 2 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

FK Crvena Zvezda

Formation: 4-3-2-1 Coach: Dejan Stankovic
1 Matheus
27 Strika
13 Veljković
30 Tebo
66 Seol
33 Krunić
15 Fani
75 Loizou
70 Saračević
10 Katai
7 Arnautović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Matheus G
66 Young-woo Seol D
30 Franklin Tebo D
13 Miloš Veljković D
27 Matej Strika D
75 Loizos Loizou M
15 Mohammad Abu Fani M
33 Rade Krunić M
10 Aleksandar Katai M
70 Muhammed-Cham Saračević M
7 Marko Arnautović F

Substitutes

14 Osman Bukari M
23 Nair Tiknizyan D
21 Timi Max Elšnik M
24 Nikola Stanković D
77 Ivan Guteša G
25 Strahinja Eraković D
45 Stefan Gudelj D
4 Mirko Ivanić M
8 Kristiyan Balov M
9 Jay Enem F
17 Bruno Duarte F
55 Dimitrije Šarić F

Larne

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gary Haveron
1 Ferguson
4 Donnelly
3 Ridley
26 Bent
23 Cosgrove
11 Graham
6 Gallagher
15 Doherty
22 McEneff
19 O'Hara
25 Sloan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rohan Ferguson G
23 Tomas Cosgrove D
26 Dan Bent M
3 Matt Ridley D
4 Aaron Donnelly D
15 Ronan Doherty M
6 Chris Gallagher M
11 Sean Graham D
25 Dylan Sloan M
19 Kevin O'Hara F
22 Jordan McEneff M

Substitutes

9 Paul O'Neill F
2 Logan Wallace D
47 James Simpson M
36 Dylan Graham G
7 Conor McKendry M
14 Benji Magee M
17 Joshua Ukek M
30 Matthew Lusty F
45 Montel Gibson F

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