Aluminij vs Celje Napoved

1. SNL · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Celje

Away

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Celje

21%

24%

54%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Aluminij proti Celje: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Aluminij na 21%, za Celje na 54%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 24%. Zadnja posodobitev: 2 Sep 2026, 19:49.

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Domači dosežejo gol 70%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

41' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 58'

Matic Ivanšek ⇄ Leonardo Koutris

⇄ 58'

Benjamin Verbič ⇄ Yaya Dukuly

63' ⇄

64' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Andrej Kotnik

Yellow Card

71' ▮

Yellow Card

75' ▮

⚽ 0–1 81'

Svit Sešlar

⚽ 0–2 84'

Artemijus Tutyškinas

⇄ 84'

Svit Sešlar ⇄ Papa Daniel

⇄ 84'

Milot Avdyli ⇄ Veton Tusha

87' ⇄

88' ⇄

Yellow Card

90' ▮

FT 0–2

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Celje

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Aluminij

DWDLL

Celje

DLLLW

Last 1 meetings Aluminij · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming 1. SNL match, Aluminij will face Celje, with both teams aiming to capitalize on their current form. Aluminij has demonstrated a strong defensive setup, allowing only 1.2 goals per match on average this season. Conversely, Celje has been effective in attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, indicating a potential for a high-scoring contest. The match could hinge on Celje's ability to break down Aluminij's defense, while Aluminij will look to leverage set pieces and counter-attacks. Both teams will be eager to secure crucial points as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

21%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

54%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celje goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	7	8	6	3	1
1	4	11	10	7	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Aluminij goals · most likely 1–1 (11.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

24%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

24%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	6.9%	8.2%	5.5%	2.8%
1	3.6%	11.1%	10.0%	6.7%	3.4%
2	3.0%	6.0%	6.0%	4.1%	2.1%
3	1.2%	2.4%	2.4%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aluminij	Draw	Celje
Aluminij	13.2%	4.3%	2.8%
Draw	7.3%	13.9%	15.9%
Celje	1.4%	4.2%	37.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aluminij vs Celje

1 Aluminij Wins

0 Draws

0 Celje Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Mar 2026	Aluminij	2 - 1	Celje

Aluminij — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maribor	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Mura	W	1 - 6
05 Sep	H Bravo	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Celje	L	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Koper	L	0 - 1

Celje — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Mura	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Bravo	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Koper	L	0 - 1
02 Sep	A Aluminij	W	0 - 2

1. SNL Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19	8	+11	20
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Bravo	10	5	3	2	12	10	+2	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10	8	+2	14
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16	11	+5	13
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11	11	0	12
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14	18	-4	11
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10	21	-11	9
10	Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9	18	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.