HJK Helsinki vs Turku PS Napoved

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17

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Turku PS

Away

Bolt Arena, Helsinki

UI napoved HJK Helsinki zmaga ali remi

67%

21%

12%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved HJK Helsinki proti Turku PS: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za HJK Helsinki na 67%, za Turku PS na 12%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 21%. Zadnja posodobitev: 26 Jul 2026, 15:52.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

S. Haarala

16' ⚽ 1–0

A. Ring Yellow Card

32' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 56'

L. Ikonen

S. Haarala ⇄ T. Pukki

63' ⇄

P. Mentu ⇄ J. Kallinen

63' ⇄

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

⇄ 69'

N. Talo

L. Lingman ⇄ Alfie Cicale

74' ⇄

⇄ 81'

87' ⇄

FT 1–0

HJK Helsinki

Match Stats

Turku PS

63% Ball Possession 37%

12 Total Shots 4

5 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 1

3 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 2

6 Shots outsidebox 2

3 Corner Kicks 0

1 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

535 Total passes 211

489 Passes accurate 168

8 Free Kicks 6

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

HJK Helsinki zmaga ali remi

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.4%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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HJK Helsinki

DDWLW

Turku PS

LLDDD

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, HJK Helsinki faces Turku PS. HJK has been strong at home historically, leveraging their consistent form to secure crucial points. Turku PS, while competitive, has struggled against top-tier opposition, often conceding goals in critical moments. The match's outcome may hinge on HJK's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as they boast a strong attacking lineup. Additionally, Turku's defensive resilience will be tested against HJK's dynamic play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Turku PS goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	3	1
1	16	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	12	5	1
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ HJK Helsinki goals · most likely 2–0 (17.4%)

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Players in form

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 4 gls

T. Pukki 3 gls

Turku PS

A. Muzaci 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	2.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.3%	9.0%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.4%	8.0%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	11.7%	5.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	5.9%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HJK Helsinki	Draw	Turku PS
HJK Helsinki	48.8%	2.2%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	14.5%	3.0%
Turku PS	1.8%	2.3%	3.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs Turku PS

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A KuPS	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Inter Turku	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Ilves	W	1 - 2

Turku PS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ilves	L	0 - 3
12 Sep	A Mariehamn	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H SJK	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Inter Turku	D	0 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joonas Rantanen

44 Marković

14 Montano

3 Cissokho

6 Tikkanen

28 Ylitolva

10 Lingman

4 Ring

8 Mentu

18 Mero

22 Möller

29 Haarala

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
44	Matej Marković	G
28	Miska Ylitolva	D
6	Ville Tikkanen	D
3	Till Cissokho	D
14	Leonel Montano	D
8	Pyry Mentu	M
4	Alexander Ring	M
10	Lucas Lingman	M
29	Santeri Haarala	F
22	Liam Möller	M
18	Toivo Mero	M

Substitutes

15	Jere Kallinen	M
20	Teemu Pukki	F
1	Jesse Öst	G
31	Mihailo Bogićević	D
13	Kaius Simojoki	D
7	Alfie Cicale	M
17	Martin Kirilov	M
32	Mouhamed Gueye	M
9	Mads Borchers	F

Turku PS

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ivan Pinol

1 Henriksson

24 Talo

4 Sairinen

15 Azongnitode

20 Kauppila

26 Ikonen

22 Zaal

6 Juvanteny

10 Könkkölä

99 Visser

29 Muzaci

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Elmo Henriksson	G
20	Miika Kauppila	D
15	Charlemagne Azongnitode	D
4	Akim Sairinen	D
24	Nikolas Talo	D
6	Pau Juvanteny	D
22	Timo Zaal	M
26	Lasse Ikonen	M
29	Albijon Muzaci	M
99	Kian Visser	F
10	Marius Könkkölä	M

Substitutes

28	Tomi Vakiparta	M
41	Samuel Anini Jr.	F
11	Elmer Vauhkonen	M
12	Henrik Asula	G
14	Matej Hradecky	D
8	Aly Coulibaly	M
7	Rasmus Harjanne	F
13	Theodoros Tsirigotis	F
44	Nils Veinbergs	F