St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk Napoved

Premier Division Premier Division · Regular Season - 25
FT
Post on X
Richmond Park, Dublin
UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe St Patrick's Athl.
64%
22%
14%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved St Patrick's Athl. proti Dundalk: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za St Patrick's Athl. na 64%, za Dundalk na 14%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 22%. Zadnja posodobitev: 24 Jul 2026, 20:55.

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Timeline

▮ 5'
Bobby Burns Yellow Card
▮ 12'
Robert Cornwall Yellow Card
▮ 24'
Aodh Dervin Yellow Card
Anto Breslin Yellow Card
35' ▮
⚽ 0–1 36'
Daryl Horgan Penalty
HT 0–1
⇄ 46'
Robert Cornwall ⇄ Egor Vassenin
⇄ 46'
Aodh Dervin ⇄ Keith Buckley
Sean Hoare Yellow Card
49' ▮
Sean Hoare assist: Aidan Keena
57' ⚽ 1–1
Barry Baggley ⇄ Chris Forrester
57' ⇄
Anto Breslin ⇄ Jason McClelland
57' ⇄
⇄ 69'
T. Clarke ⇄ Declan McDaid
▮ 70'
Keith Buckley Yellow Card
Ryan Edmondson ⇄ Sam Rooney
76' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Bobby Burns ⇄ Shane Tracey
⇄ 77'
Cian Dillon ⇄ Leonardo Gaxha
Luke Turner ⇄ Darragh Nugent
90' ⇄
James Brown Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 1–1
St Patrick's Athl.

Match Stats

Dundalk
53% Ball Possession 47%
1.98 Expected Goals (xG) 1.38
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 3
6 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
374 Total passes 342
273 Passes accurate 250
73% Passes % 73%
0.81 goals_prevented 0.81
St Patrick's Athl.
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Aidan Keena F 8.0 96' – 1 2 28 (21%) –
2 Sean Hoare D 7.9 96' 1 – 1 51 (37%) 3
10 Kian Leavy F 7.7 96' – – 2 22 (17%) 5
24 Luke Turner D 7.3 90' – – – 40 (27%) 2
94 Joseph Anang G 7.3 96' – – – 28 (16%) –
6 Jamie Lennon M 7.2 96' – – – 34 (25%) 8
11 Jason McClelland F 7.0 39' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
19 Barry Baggley M 7.0 57' – – – 13 (10%) 2
23 James Brown M 6.9 96' – – – 40 (34%) 3
4 Joe Redmond D 6.9 96' – – 1 56 (42%) 1
8 Chris Forrester M 6.9 39' – – – 22 (16%) –
27 Ryan Edmondson F 6.7 76' – – 2 11 (8%) 2
35 Sam Rooney F 6.5 20' – – 1 3 (1%) –
3 Anto Breslin M 6.0 57' – – 1 15 (11%) 1
16 Darragh Nugent M — 6' – – – 1 –
Dundalk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Enda Minogue G 7.7 96' – – – 35 (10%) –
22 Tyreke Wilson D 7.2 96' – – – 29 (27%) 2
7 Daryl Horgan M 7.2 96' 1 – 3 33 (28%) –
4 M. Animasahun D 7.0 96' – – 2 19 (19%) 1
24 Robert Cornwall D 6.9 45' – – – 14 (10%) –
11 Ronan Teahan M 6.9 96' – – – 35 (31%) 2
8 Harry Groome M 6.9 96' – – 1 35 (30%) 2
18 Keith Buckley M 6.7 51' – – – 23 (18%) 1
3 Bobby Burns D 6.6 76' – – 1 32 (18%) –
17 Shane Tracey M 6.6 20' – – – 4 (4%) 2
15 T. Clarke M 6.6 69' – – 2 14 (9%) –
10 Leonardo Gaxha F 6.5 19' – – – 6 (3%) –
27 Declan McDaid M 6.3 27' – – – 9 (6%) 2
6 Aodh Dervin M 6.2 45' – – – 23 (20%) –
16 Egor Vassenin D 6.2 51' – – – 8 (4%) 1
9 Cian Dillon F 5.9 77' – – – 23 (13%) –
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe St Patrick's Athl.
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St Patrick's Athl.
WWWDL
Dundalk
LLDLW
Last 2 meetings St Patrick's Athl. · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier Division clash, St. Patrick's Athletic will face Dundalk. St. Patrick's currently boasts a solid home record, while Dundalk has shown resilience on the road. Both teams have had fluctuating form; St. Patrick's has averaged 1.5 goals per match, while Dundalk has been slightly more defensively solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. The match promises to be competitive, with both sides looking to capitalize on any defensive lapses. Key players to watch include St. Patrick's top scorer and Dundalk's playmaker, who could influence the game's outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

St Patrick's Athl.
R. Edmondson 10 gls
A. Keena 10 gls
K. Leavy 6 gls
Dundalk
D. Horgan 10 gls
G. Arubi 7 gls

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Head to Head: St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk

2 St Patrick's Athl. Wins
0 Draws
0 Dundalk Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Sep 2026 Dundalk 0 - 4 St Patrick's Athl.
27 Feb 2026 St Patrick's Athl. 4 - 0 Dundalk

St Patrick's Athl. — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sligo Rovers W 0 - 1
14 Sep A Dundalk W 0 - 4
11 Sep H Shamrock Rovers W 2 - 0
05 Sep H Bohemians D 1 - 1
28 Aug H Waterford L 0 - 2

Dundalk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Shelbourne L 2 - 3
14 Sep H St Patrick's Athl. L 0 - 4
11 Sep A Waterford D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Derry City L 4 - 2
28 Aug A Drogheda United W 2 - 3

Premier Division Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 8 7 +27 59
2
Shamrock Rovers
31 17 8 6 +18 59
3
Bohemians
31 16 8 7 +18 56
4
Derry City
32 9 14 9 +3 41
5
Dundalk
32 10 11 11 -4 41
6
Shelbourne
31 9 12 10 -3 39
7
Galway United
31 9 10 12 -6 37
8
Waterford
32 7 13 12 -10 34
9
Drogheda United
32 8 10 14 -13 34
10
Sligo Rovers
32 5 8 19 -30 23

Dundalk

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
1 Minogue
3 Burns
24 Cornwall
4 Animasahun
22 Wilson
6 Dervin
8 Groome
7 Horgan
11 Teahan
15 Clarke
9 Dillon

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Enda Minogue G
22 Tyreke Wilson D
4 Mayowa Animasahun D
24 Robert Cornwall D
3 Bobby Burns D
8 Harry Groome M
6 Aodh Dervin M
15 Trevor Clarke M
11 Ronan Teahan M
7 Daryl Horgan M
9 Cian Dillon F

Substitutes

16 Egor Vassenin D
18 Keith Buckley M
27 Declan McDaid M
13 Peter Cherrie G
19 Sean Spaight D
12 Luke Mulligan D
10 Leonardo Gaxha F
17 Shane Tracey M
23 Aaron Keogh M

St Patrick's Athl.

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Stephen Kenny
94 Anang
24 Turner
2 Hoare
4 Redmond
3 Breslin
19 Baggley
6 Lennon
23 Brown
10 Leavy
9 Keena
27 Edmondson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
94 Joseph Anang G
4 Joe Redmond D
2 Sean Hoare D
24 Luke Turner D
23 James Brown M
6 Jamie Lennon M
19 Barry Baggley M
3 Anto Breslin M
10 Kian Leavy F
27 Ryan Edmondson F
9 Aidan Keena F

Substitutes

11 Jason McClelland F
8 Chris Forrester M
35 Sam Rooney F
1 Danny Rogers G
32 Billy Canny D
5 Tom Grivosti D
37 Joe Byrne M
48 Ryan Sheridan M
16 Darragh Nugent M

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