Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999 Napoved

UEFA Champions League · 1st Qualifying Round

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FC Iberia 1999

Away

UI napoved Flora Tallinn ali neodločeno

46%

30%

24%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Flora Tallinn proti FC Iberia 1999: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Flora Tallinn na 46%, za FC Iberia 1999 na 24%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 30%. Zadnja posodobitev: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Domači dosežejo gol 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Več kot 1,5 gola 71%

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Match Report

Saburtalo claimed a dramatic 3–2 victory over Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Champions League first qualifying round, overturning an early deficit to advance. Flora drew first blood at the 18-minute mark, but Saburtalo responded swiftly with a penalty on 21 minutes before adding a second goal just seven minutes later to lead 2–1 at the break. A VAR review at 37 minutes saw a Flora goal disallowed for handball, compounding the home side's frustrations after a turbulent spell that produced three yellow cards in a single minute.

The second half brought further drama when a red card on the hour mark reduced one side to ten men. Saburtalo capitalised on the numerical advantage, scoring twice in quick succession through the 73rd and 75th minutes to put the tie beyond doubt. Flora were unable to mount a meaningful response despite a flurry of substitutions from both benches in the closing stages.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Flora Tallinn win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as Saburtalo held firm to progress.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 18'

⚽ 0–2 21'

Penalty

28' ⚽ 1–2

▮ 36'

Yellow Card

36' ▮

▮ 36'

Yellow Card

🖵 37'

Goal Disallowed - handball

HT 1–2

Red Card

60' ▮

66' ⇄

⇄ 71'

73' ⚽ 2–2

⚽ 2–3 75'

⇄ 80'

82' ⇄

⇄ 86'

FT 2–3

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Flora Tallinn ali neodločeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Flora Tallinn

WWDWW

FC Iberia 1999

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Last 1 meetings Flora Tallinn · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League match, Flora Tallinn faces Saburtalo. Flora Tallinn has demonstrated strong defensive resilience in recent matches, conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Conversely, Saburtalo has shown offensive prowess, averaging 1.6 goals per game in the same timeframe. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their respective strengths, with Flora focusing on solidifying their defense while Saburtalo looks to exploit any lapses. This matchup is expected to be competitive, with tactical adjustments likely playing a key role in the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Iberia 1999 goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Flora Tallinn goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Flora Tallinn

No scorer data.

FC Iberia 1999

N. Sikharulashvili 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.2%	4.3%	1.4%	0.4%
1	11.3%	14.3%	6.2%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.0%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Flora Tallinn	Draw	FC Iberia 1999
Flora Tallinn	28.1%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	16.9%	19.6%	10.0%
FC Iberia 1999	2.0%	4.1%	13.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999

0 Flora Tallinn Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Iberia 1999 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Jul 2026	FC Iberia 1999	2 - 2	Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Vaprus	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Nõmme United	W	2 - 3
08 Sep	A Trans Narva	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Kalju Nomme	W	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Tammeka	W	3 - 2

FC Iberia 1999 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A Rustavi	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	H Dila	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Spaeri	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	A Dinamo Batumi	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Samgurali	W	2 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6	1	+5	3
2	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5	1	+4	3
4	Manchester United	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
6	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
10	Lens	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
11	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
12	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
13	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
15	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
18	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
19	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
20	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
21	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
22	Lille	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
23	Slavia Praha	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0
34	Sabah FA	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1	6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Flora Tallinn

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Konstantin Vasiliev

33 Grünvald

26 Tovstik

3 Kollo

23 Kolobov

7 Kuraksin

14 Varjund

32 Kreida

18 Valdmets

29 Alamaa

11 Sappinen

20 Zenjov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Evert Grünvald	G
7	Danil Kuraksin	M
23	Mihhail Kolobov	D
3	Airon Kollo	D
26	Sander Tovstik	D
18	Remo Valdmets	M
32	Vladislav Kreida	M
14	Tony Varjund	M
20	Sergei Zenjov	M
11	Rauno Sappinen	F
29	Sander Alamaa	M

Substitutes

6	Robert Veering	D
22	Andero Tatrik	G
99	Kaur Kivila	G
5	Andreas Vaher	D
24	Oscar Pihela	D
53	Ronald Sammul	D
8	Tristan Toomas Teeväli	M
9	Rauno Alliku	M
67	Ilja Antonov	M
51	Marten Kukkonen	M
89	Maksim Kalimullin	M
17	Taaniel Usta	F

FC Iberia 1999

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Andriy Demchenko

31 Makaridze

5 Jinjolava

25 Amisulashvili

4 Selimović

20 Zohouri

8 Kardava

6 Dadiani

19 Sikharulashvili

10 Natchkebia

24 Bedoshvili

11 Bartishvili

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Giorgi Makaridze	G
20	Armel Zohouri	D
4	Vahid Selimović	D
25	Aleksandre Amisulashvili	D
5	Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava	D
19	Nika Sikharulashvili	M
6	Nikoloz Dadiani	M
8	Bakar Kardava	M
11	Andria Bartishvili	M
24	Vakhtang Bedoshvili	M
10	Zviad Natchkebia	M

Substitutes

27	Giorgi Kutsia	M
1	Tornike Megrelishvili	G
33	Andrey Victor	D
40	Giorgi Kobuladze	D
30	Nikoloz Bochorishvili	D
22	Givi Khachidze	M
14	Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan	M
23	Eldar Kuliiev	M
9	Amiran Dzagania	F
29	Lado Chikhradze	F