New Zealand vs Egypt Napoved

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

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Egypt

Away

BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Egypt

28%

63%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved New Zealand proti Egypt: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za New Zealand na 9%, za Egypt na 63%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

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Match Report

New Zealand made a bright start at the World Cup group stage, taking the lead through Finn Surman in the 15th minute. The opening quarter of an hour was feisty, with yellow cards shown to Egypt's Mohanad Lasheen, New Zealand's Sarpreet Singh, and Callum McCowatt before the break. Despite the early setback, Egypt dominated possession at 56% and generated the superior chances, reflected in an expected goals figure of 1.96 compared to New Zealand's 1.12.

Egypt came out transformed after the interval. Mostafa Ziko levelled on 58 minutes, and Mohamed Salah put the Africans ahead just nine minutes later. Mahmoud Trézéguet added a third in the 82nd minute to put the result beyond doubt, capping a commanding second-half display in which Egypt outshot New Zealand 19 to 11 across the full match.

The result moves Egypt into a strong position in the group. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Egypt victory as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved well-founded as the Pharaohs' second-half quality proved the decisive factor.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Finn Surman assist: Tim Payne

15' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 17'

Mohanad Lasheen Yellow Card

Sarpreet Singh Yellow Card

20' ▮

Callum McCowatt Yellow Card

34' ▮

⇄ 41'

Hamdy Fathy ⇄ Rami Rabia

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 58'

Mostafa Ziko assist: Mohamed Hany

Callum McCowatt ⇄ Benjamin Old

66' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 67'

Mohamed Salah assist: Mostafa Ziko

Sarpreet Singh ⇄ Ryan Thomas

76' ⇄

Liberato Cacace ⇄ Jesse Randall

76' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Omar Marmoush ⇄ Mahmoud Trézéguet

⇄ 76'

Mostafa Ziko ⇄ Hamza Abdelkarim

⚽ 1–3 82'

Mahmoud Trézéguet assist: Mohamed Salah

⇄ 85'

Emam Ashour ⇄ Zizo

⇄ 85'

Mohamed Salah ⇄ Hossam Abdelmaguid

Tim Payne ⇄ Tyler Bindon

85' ⇄

Elijah Just ⇄ Francis De Vries

85' ⇄

⇄ 90+9'

Hossam Abdelmaguid ⇄ Mohamed Abdelmonem

FT 1–3

New Zealand

Match Stats

Egypt

44% Ball Possession 56%

1.12 Expected Goals (xG) 1.96

11 Total Shots 19

5 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 6

3 Blocked Shots 6

6 Shots insidebox 12

5 Shots outsidebox 7

4 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 0

14 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

420 Total passes 528

338 Passes accurate 463

80% Passes % 88%

0.75 goals_prevented 0.75

New Zealand

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Finn Surman D	7.5	101'	1	–	1	45 (43%)	–
11 Elijah Just M	7.3	85'	–	–	1	27 (25%)	2
8 Marko Stamenić M	7.2	101'	–	–	1	54 (47%)	2
23 Ryan Thomas M	7.2	25'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
4 Tyler Bindon D	7.0	16'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	–
1 Max Crocombe G	6.9	101'	–	–	–	30 (18%)	–
13 Liberato Cacace D	6.9	76'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	1
6 Joe Bell M	6.6	101'	–	–	–	59 (50%)	2
2 Tim Payne D	6.3	85'	–	1	–	20 (16%)	2
9 Chris Wood F	6.3	101'	–	–	1	26 (17%)	–
19 Benjamin Old F	6.3	35'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	–
21 Jesse Randall F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
5 Michael Boxall D	6.2	101'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	1
20 Callum McCowatt M	6.2	66'	–	–	2	28 (22%)	–
3 Francis De Vries D	6.2	16'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–
10 Sarpreet Singh M	5.9	76'	–	–	1	23 (15%)	–

Egypt

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Mohamed Salah M	8.7	85'	1	1	3	32 (26%)	–
23 Mostafa Shobeir G	8.2	101'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
11 Mostafa Ziko M	8.0	76'	1	1	2	25 (18%)	2
22 Omar Marmoush F	7.7	76'	–	–	2	21 (18%)	–
4 Hossam Abdelmaguid D	7.5	14'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
19 Marwan Attia M	7.3	101'	–	–	–	87 (82%)	–
5 Rami Rabia D	7.3	60'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	2
7 Mahmoud Trézéguet F	7.3	25'	1	–	1	6 (3%)	–
17 Mohanad Lasheen M	7.2	101'	–	–	–	45 (42%)	5
13 Ahmed Fatouh D	7.0	101'	–	–	1	66 (60%)	3
14 Hamdy Fathy D	6.9	41'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	2
25 Zizo F	6.7	16'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
3 Mohamed Hany D	6.6	101'	–	1	–	57 (45%)	1
2 Yasser Ibrahim D	6.5	101'	–	–	–	49 (47%)	1
8 Emam Ashour M	6.5	85'	–	–	3	53 (49%)	–
9 Hamza Abdelkarim F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
6 Mohamed Abdelmonem D	—	2'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Egypt

Most likely score

0:1 · 19.9%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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New Zealand

LLDLD

Egypt

LDDWD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, New Zealand faces Egypt, scheduled for June 22, 2026. New Zealand, known for its strong defensive organization, will rely on set pieces and counter-attacks to break Egypt's defense. Conversely, Egypt boasts a talented squad featuring key players like Mohamed Salah, who can exploit New Zealand's vulnerabilities. Historically, New Zealand has struggled against teams with high attacking prowess, while Egypt's recent form shows a solid offensive output. This clash promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams looking to secure vital points in the group stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Egypt goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	15	20	16	8	3	1
1	5	11	7	4	1
2	1	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ New Zealand goals · most likely 0–1 (19.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

28%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

28%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

87% Away (No Draw) 13% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

28%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.0%	19.9%	16.3%	8.4%	3.2%
1	4.9%	10.8%	7.3%	3.8%	1.5%
2	1.4%	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	New Zealand	Draw	Egypt
New Zealand	5.0%	2.6%	1.4%
Draw	4.6%	20.6%	23.2%
Egypt	0.4%	2.6%	39.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

64%

29%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: New Zealand vs Egypt

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

New Zealand — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H Belgium	L	1 - 5
22 Jun	H Egypt	L	1 - 3
16 Jun	A Iran	D	2 - 2
03 Jun	A Haiti	L	4 - 0
30 Mar	H Chile	D	0 - 0

Egypt — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	A Argentina	L	3 - 2
03 Jul	A Australia	D	1 - 1
27 Jun	H Iran	D	1 - 1
22 Jun	A New Zealand	W	1 - 3
15 Jun	A Belgium	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

New Zealand

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

1 Crocombe

13 Cacace

5 Boxall

16 Surman

2 Payne

8 Stamenić

6 Bell

11 Just

10 Singh

20 McCowatt

9 Wood

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Max Crocombe	G
2	Tim Payne	D
16	Finn Surman	D
5	Michael Boxall	D
13	Liberato Cacace	D
6	Joe Bell	M
8	Marko Stamenić	M
20	Callum McCowatt	M
10	Sarpreet Singh	M
11	Elijah Just	M
9	Chris Wood	F

Substitutes

19	Benjamin Old	F
12	Alex Paulsen	G
22	Michael Woud	G
26	Tommy Smith	D
4	Tyler Bindon	D
15	Nando Pijnaker	D
3	Francis De Vries	D
24	Callan Elliot	D
23	Ryan Thomas	M
14	Alex Rufer	M
25	Lachlan Bayliss	M
7	Logan Rogerson	F
21	Jesse Randall	F
17	Kosta Barbarouses	F
18	Ben Waine	F

Egypt

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Hossam Hassan

23 Shobeir

13 Fatouh

14 Fathy

2 Ibrahim

3 Hany

17 Lasheen

19 Attia

8 Ashour

10 Salah

11 Ziko

22 Marmoush

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Mostafa Shobeir	G
3	Mohamed Hany	D
2	Yasser Ibrahim	D
14	Hamdy Fathy	D
13	Ahmed Fatouh	D
19	Marwan Attia	M
17	Mohanad Lasheen	M
11	Mostafa Ziko	M
10	Mohamed Salah	M
8	Emam Ashour	M
22	Omar Marmoush	F

Substitutes

5	Rami Rabia	D
26	Mohamed Alaa	G
16	Mahdi Soliman	G
1	Mohamed El-Shenawy	G
4	Hossam Abdelmaguid	D
24	Tarek Alaa	D
6	Mohamed Abdelmonem	D
15	Karim Hafez	D
25	Zizo	F
21	Mahmoud Saber	M
20	Ibrahim Adel	F
7	Mahmoud Trézéguet	F
12	Haissem Hassan	F
18	Nabil Donga	M
9	Hamza Abdelkarim	F