Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Napoved

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

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Bosnia & Herzegovina

Away

BMO Field, Toronto

UI napoved Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Canada

56%

28%

16%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Canada proti Bosnia & Herzegovina: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Canada na 56%, za Bosnia & Herzegovina na 16%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Več kot 1,5 gola 70%

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Match Report

Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina played out a 1-1 draw in their World Cup group stage opener, with both teams earning a valuable point. Bosnia took the lead through Jovo Lukić in the 21st minute and held their advantage until halftime despite Canada controlling 61% of possession.

The second half saw Canada make three attacking substitutions on 61 minutes, bringing on Liam Millar, Jonathan David, and Tajon Buchanan to inject fresh energy into their pursuit of an equalizer. The tactical changes paid dividends when Cyle Larin found the net in the 78th minute to level the score. Our pre-match AI model had favored Canada with a 56% win probability, but the Bosnians proved resilient.

Canada dominated territorially with nine corner kicks to Bosnia's four and edged the expected goals battle 1.06 to 0.98, but couldn't find a winner despite their territorial advantage. The match featured five yellow cards, including bookings for goalscorer Lukić and Canada's Alistair Johnston early in the first half. Both teams will view this as a fair result heading into their remaining group fixtures.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Alistair Johnston Yellow Card

11' ▮

⚽ 0–1 21'

Jovo Lukić assist: Sead Kolašinac

▮ 45'

Ermedin Demirović Yellow Card

▮ 45+1'

Jovo Lukić Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Luc De Fougerolles Yellow Card

53' ▮

Liam Millar ⇄ Jacob Shaffelburg

61' ⇄

Jonathan David ⇄ Promise David

61' ⇄

Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Ali Ahmed

61' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Jovo Lukić ⇄ Samed Baždar

⇄ 62'

Ivan Bašić ⇄ Armin Gigović

⇄ 74'

Esmir Bajraktarević ⇄ Ivan Šunjić

⇄ 74'

Amar Memić ⇄ Kerim Alajbegović

Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Cyle Larin

76' ⇄

Cyle Larin assist: Promise David

78' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 84'

Sead Kolašinac ⇄ Dženis Burnić

Stephen Eustaquio ⇄ Jonathan Osorio

90+1' ⇄

▮ 90+3'

Nikola Katić Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Canada

Match Stats

Bosnia & Herzegovina

61% Ball Possession 39%

1.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.98

12 Total Shots 8

4 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 5

3 Shots outsidebox 3

9 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 19

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

383 Total passes 251

285 Passes accurate 162

74% Passes % 65%

-0.26 goals_prevented -0.26

Canada

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Cyle Larin F	7.7	13'	1	–	1	–	–
22 Richie Laryea D	7.3	89'	–	–	1	32 (24%)	5
2 Alistair Johnston D	7.0	89'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	1
7 Stephen Eustaquio M	7.0	89'	–	–	1	44 (39%)	1
16 Maxime Crépeau G	6.9	89'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	1
11 Liam Millar M	6.9	61'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	2
8 Ismael Koné M	6.7	89'	–	–	–	58 (48%)	1
20 Ali Ahmed M	6.7	28'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	1
24 Promise David F	6.7	28'	–	1	1	3 (1%)	1
14 Jacob Shaffelburg F	6.6	28'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
4 Luc De Fougerolles D	6.3	89'	–	–	–	43 (34%)	2
13 Derek Cornelius D	6.3	89'	–	–	1	56 (42%)	3
17 Tajon Buchanan M	6.3	61'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
12 Tani Oluwaseyi F	6.3	76'	–	–	2	20 (6%)	–
10 Jonathan David F	6.2	61'	–	–	2	14 (8%)	1

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Nikola Katić D	8.2	89'	–	–	–	21 (15%)	5
5 Sead Kolašinac D	8.0	84'	–	1	–	21 (15%)	3
25 Jovo Lukić F	7.5	62'	1	–	3	17 (7%)	1
4 Tarik Muharemović D	7.3	89'	–	–	1	28 (23%)	1
13 Ivan Bašić M	7.2	62'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–
7 Amar Dedić D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	20 (12%)	3
6 Benjamin Tahirović M	6.7	89'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	3
8 Armin Gigović M	6.7	27'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	1
10 Ermedin Demirović F	6.6	89'	–	–	1	16 (11%)	2
14 Ivan Šunjić M	6.5	15'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
15 Amar Memić M	6.3	74'	–	–	1	7 (3%)	–
19 Kerim Alajbegović F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
1 Nikola Vasilj G	6.2	89'	–	–	–	27 (11%)	–
9 Samed Baždar F	6.2	27'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
20 Esmir Bajraktarević M	6.0	74'	–	–	–	14 (7%)	–
17 Dženis Burnić M	—	5'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Zahtevna zmaga ali remi ekipe Canada

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Canada

LWLWD

Bosnia & Herzegovina

LWLD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 12, 2026, Canada will host Bosnia & Herzegovina. Canada has shown improvement in recent years, with a strong performance in CONCACAF qualifying, highlighted by their pacey attacking play and solid midfield presence. Bosnia & Herzegovina, relying on their experienced core, including players from major European leagues, will aim to leverage their technical skills and set-piece effectiveness. Historically, Canada has struggled against European teams, but their home advantage and recent form could prove pivotal. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams needing to capitalize on their scoring opportunities to secure a vital victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Canada goals · most likely 1–0 (13.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	5.6%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
1	13.6%	13.0%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.2%	9.3%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	6.6%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.7%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Canada	Draw	Bosnia & Herzegovina
Canada	35.5%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	20.0%	18.5%	7.0%
Bosnia & Herzegovina	2.1%	3.6%	8.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Canada — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	H Morocco	L	0 - 3
28 Jun	A South Africa	W	0 - 1
24 Jun	A Switzerland	L	2 - 1
18 Jun	H Qatar	W	6 - 0
12 Jun	H Bosnia & Herzegovina	D	1 - 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Jul	A USA	L	2 - 0
24 Jun	H Qatar	W	3 - 1
18 Jun	A Switzerland	L	4 - 1
12 Jun	A Canada	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Canada

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jesse Marsch

16 Crépeau

22 Laryea

13 Cornelius

4 Fougerolles

2 Johnston

11 Millar

7 Eustaquio

8 Koné

17 Buchanan

12 Oluwaseyi

10 David

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Maxime Crépeau	G
2	Alistair Johnston	D
4	Luc De Fougerolles	D
13	Derek Cornelius	D
22	Richie Laryea	D
17	Tajon Buchanan	M
8	Ismael Koné	M
7	Stephen Eustaquio	M
11	Liam Millar	M
10	Jonathan David	F
12	Tani Oluwaseyi	F

Substitutes

20	Ali Ahmed	M
14	Jacob Shaffelburg	F
24	Promise David	F
1	Dayne St. Clair	G
18	Owen Goodman	G
23	Niko Sigur	M
3	Alfie Jones	D
5	Joel Waterman	D
15	Moise Bombito	D
19	Alphonso Davies	D
25	Nathan-Dylan Saliba	M
6	Mathieu Choinière	M
21	Jonathan Osorio	M
26	Jayden Nelson	F
9	Cyle Larin	F

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sergej Barbarez

1 Vasilj

5 Kolašinac

4 Muharemović

18 Katić

7 Dedić

15 Memić

13 Bašić

6 Tahirović

20 Bajraktarević

25 Lukić

10 Demirović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Nikola Vasilj	G
7	Amar Dedić	D
18	Nikola Katić	D
4	Tarik Muharemović	D
5	Sead Kolašinac	D
20	Esmir Bajraktarević	M
6	Benjamin Tahirović	M
13	Ivan Bašić	M
15	Amar Memić	M
10	Ermedin Demirović	F
25	Jovo Lukić	F

Substitutes

8	Armin Gigović	M
9	Samed Baždar	F
12	Mladen Jurkas	G
22	Martin Zlomislić	G
24	Arjan Malić	D
21	Stjepan Radeljić	D
3	Dennis Hadžikadunić	D
2	Nihad Mujakić	D
16	Amir Hadžiahmetović	M
14	Ivan Šunjić	M
17	Dženis Burnić	M
19	Kerim Alajbegović	F
26	Ermin Mahmic	M
11	Edin Džeko	F
23	Haris Tabaković	F