Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 38

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Bournemouth

Away

The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Predicție AI Nottingham Forest sau egal

36%

31%

34%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth prediction: Sportiko gives Nottingham Forest a 36% chance of winning, Bournemouth 34% and the draw 31%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth played out a 1–1 draw in the final Premier League fixture of the regular season, with the spoils shared after a second-half equaliser cancelled out Forest's interval lead. Morgan Gibbs-White broke the deadlock in the 34th minute, a minute after James Hill had been cautioned, to give the home side a lead they carried into the break.

Bournemouth levelled early in the second half through Marcus Tavernier, who struck in the 54th minute to restore parity. Both managers turned to their benches in the following minutes, with a combined nine substitutions made between the 57th and 78th minutes as each side pushed for a winner. Taiwo Awoniyi picked up a yellow card in the 66th minute amid a lively spell of play.

Despite Forest enjoying 55 percent possession and registering 17 total shots, Bournemouth's expected goals figure of 1.73 reflected their more dangerous attacking threat, backed by six corner kicks to Forest's three. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Nottingham Forest win as the most likely outcome at 36 percent, though ultimately neither side could find a decisive goal.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 33'

James Hill Yellow Card

Morgan Gibbs-White assist: Omari Hutchinson

34' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 54'

Marcus Tavernier assist: Adrien Truffert

⇄ 57'

Alex Tóth ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak

Chris Wood ⇄ Taiwo Awoniyi

62' ⇄

Jair ⇄ Luca Netz

63' ⇄

Elliot Anderson ⇄ Ryan Yates

65' ⇄

Ibrahim Sangaré ⇄ Nicolás Domínguez

65' ⇄

Taiwo Awoniyi Yellow Card

66' ▮

⇄ 73'

Evanilson ⇄ Enes Ünal

⇄ 73'

Eli Junior Kroupi ⇄ J. Kluivert

⇄ 73'

Rayan ⇄ Amine Adli

Omari Hutchinson ⇄ James McAtee

78' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Adam Smith ⇄ Lewis Cook

FT 1–1

Nottingham Forest

Match Stats

Bournemouth

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.73 Expected Goals (xG) 0.95

15 Total Shots 17

5 Shots on Goal 4

5 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 7

10 Shots insidebox 6

5 Shots outsidebox 11

6 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

396 Total passes 485

307 Passes accurate 409

78% Passes % 84%

-0.48 goals_prevented -0.48

Nottingham Forest

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
31 Nikola Milenković D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	45 (35%)	1
10 Morgan Gibbs-White M	7.3	90'	1	–	2	34 (25%)	–
4 Morato D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	1
8 Elliot Anderson M	7.2	65'	–	–	1	43 (39%)	3
21 Omari Hutchinson M	7.2	78'	–	1	–	27 (22%)	3
22 Ryan Yates M	7.0	25'	–	–	1	14 (10%)	2
25 Luca Netz D	6.9	27'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
6 Ibrahim Sangaré M	6.7	65'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	–
19 Igor Jesus F	6.7	90'	–	–	1	32 (26%)	1
11 Chris Wood F	6.5	62'	–	–	2	16 (12%)	–
16 Nicolás Domínguez M	6.5	25'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	2
24 James McAtee M	6.5	12'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	–
9 Taiwo Awoniyi F	6.5	28'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	1
3 Neco Williams D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	34 (23%)	2
26 Matz Sels G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	32 (21%)	–
23 Jair D	5.6	63'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–

Bournemouth

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Marcos Senesi D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	75 (58%)	2
3 Adrien Truffert D	7.7	90'	–	1	–	46 (40%)	7
16 Marcus Tavernier M	7.7	90'	1	–	2	56 (48%)	1
12 Tyler Adams M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	61 (54%)	6
15 Adam Smith D	7.0	89'	–	–	–	39 (35%)	1
9 Evanilson F	6.9	73'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	1
37 Rayan M	6.7	73'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
19 J. Kluivert F	6.7	17'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
27 Alex Tóth M	6.7	57'	–	–	1	32 (29%)	–
21 Amine Adli F	6.7	17'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	2
1 Đorđe Petrović G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F	6.3	33'	–	–	2	10 (7%)	1
4 Lewis Cook M	6.3	12'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
23 James Hill D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	61 (51%)	–
22 Eli Junior Kroupi M	6.2	73'	–	–	2	36 (30%)	–
26 Enes Ünal F	6.2	17'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

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Nottingham Forest sau egal

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Nottingham Forest

LWDLD

Bournemouth

WDDWW

Last 3 meetings Nottingham Forest · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 24, 2026, Nottingham Forest will host Bournemouth at the City Ground. Nottingham Forest has shown a strong home record, with a 60% win rate at home this season, primarily due to their solid defensive structure, allowing only 1.2 goals per match. Conversely, Bournemouth's away performance has been inconsistent, with only a 30% win rate and a tendency to concede early, averaging 2 goals against per match. The match could hinge on Nottingham's ability to exploit Bournemouth’s defensive vulnerabilities, while Bournemouth will need to capitalize on counterattacks to secure points. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they jockey for mid-table stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bournemouth goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	13	7	2	1
1	14	14	7	2	1
2	7	7	3	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Nottingham Forest goals · most likely 1–0 (13.8%)

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Head to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth

0 Nottingham Forest Wins

1 Draws

2 Bournemouth Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Oct 2025	Bournemouth	2 - 0	Nottingham Forest
25 Jan 2025	Bournemouth	5 - 0	Nottingham Forest
17 Aug 2024	Nottingham Forest	1 - 1	Bournemouth

See all 7 meetings — Premium

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Sporting CP	L	4 - 1
22 Jul	H Blackburn	W	3 - 0
24 May	H Bournemouth	D	1 - 1
17 May	A Manchester United	L	3 - 2
10 May	H Newcastle	D	1 - 1

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Jul	H FC St. Pauli	W	4 - 1
24 May	A Nottingham Forest	D	1 - 1
19 May	H Manchester City	D	1 - 1
09 May	A Fulham	W	0 - 1
03 May	H Crystal Palace	W	3 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0