Chelsea vs Tottenham Predicție

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 37
FT
Post on X
Stamford Bridge, London
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Chelsea
59%
24%
17%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Chelsea vs Tottenham: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 59% pentru victoria lui Chelsea, 17% pentru Tottenham și 24% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Chelsea secured a narrow but deserved derby victory over Tottenham at Stamford Bridge, moving closer to securing their Premier League position heading into the final matchday. Enzo Fernández broke the deadlock on 18 minutes with a composed finish, and Chelsea carried that advantage into the break despite a feisty first half that saw yellow cards shown to Pedro Porro and Mats van de Ven. The hosts dominated possession at 56% and generated the clearer chances, reflected in an expected goals figure of 1.72 compared to Tottenham's 0.63.

The second half brought a brief spell of drama. Andrey Santos doubled Chelsea's lead on 67 minutes, only for Richarlison to pull one back for Spurs just seven minutes later, tightening the contest considerably. A flurry of substitutions followed from both sides, and the closing stages grew increasingly fractious, with five more yellow cards distributed before the final whistle.

Chelsea ultimately held firm to claim all three points. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Chelsea win as the most likely outcome at 59%, a call that proved correct on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Enzo Fernández assist: Pedro Neto
18' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 28'
Pedro Porro Yellow Card
▮ 43'
M. van de Ven Yellow Card
HT 1–0
▮ 63'
Destiny Udogie Yellow Card
Andrey Santos assist: Enzo Fernández
67' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 69'
Randal Kolo Muani ⇄ James Maddison
⇄ 69'
Destiny Udogie ⇄ Djed Spence
⇄ 69'
João Palhinha ⇄ Pape Matar Sarr
⚽ 2–1 74'
Richarlison assist: Pape Matar Sarr
Josh Acheampong ⇄ Trevoh Chalobah
74' ⇄
J. Hato Yellow Card
79' ▮
Wesley Fofana ⇄ Mamadou Sarr
81' ⇄
Marc Cucurella Yellow Card
85' ▮
Liam Delap Yellow Card
87' ▮
Pedro Neto ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho
89' ⇄
Cole Palmer ⇄ Dário Essugo
89' ⇄
Liam Delap
89' ⇄
Dário Essugo Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 2–1
Chelsea

Match Stats

Tottenham
44% Ball Possession 56%
0.63 Expected Goals (xG) 1.72
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
425 Total passes 539
354 Passes accurate 474
83% Passes % 88%
-1.08 goals_prevented -1.08
Chelsea
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Enzo Fernández M 8.7 90' 1 1 2 47 (34%) 1
17 Andrey Santos M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 39 (39%) 5
25 Moisés Caicedo M 7.2 90' – – – 56 (50%) –
10 Cole Palmer M 7.0 89' – – 2 24 (22%) 1
7 Pedro Neto M 6.9 89' – 1 1 17 (16%) 3
21 J. Hato D 6.9 90' – – – 64 (60%) 1
19 Mamadou Sarr D 6.7 9' – – – 3 (1%) –
14 Dário Essugo M 6.7 9' – – – 2 (2%) 2
23 Trevoh Chalobah D 6.6 16' – – – 8 (6%) –
29 Wesley Fofana D 6.6 81' – – – 58 (54%) –
49 Alejandro Garnacho F 6.6 9' – – – 3 (2%) 2
34 Josh Acheampong D 6.6 74' – – – 21 (18%) 1
62 Shumaira Mheuka F 6.5 9' – – – 2 (1%) –
3 Marc Cucurella D 6.3 90' – – – 26 (17%) 3
9 Liam Delap F 6.3 89' – – 1 17 (13%) 1
1 Robert Sánchez G 6.2 90' – – – 38 (19%) –
Tottenham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Richarlison F 7.2 90' 1 – 3 18 (10%) 2
31 Antonín Kinský G 6.9 90' – – – 27 (21%) –
10 James Maddison M 6.9 21' – – 1 23 (23%) –
23 Pedro Porro D 6.7 90' – – – 58 (50%) 1
6 João Palhinha M 6.7 69' – – – 47 (45%) 2
30 Rodrigo Bentancur M 6.6 90' – – – 73 (67%) 2
24 Djed Spence D 6.6 21' – – – 13 (8%) –
4 Kevin Danso D 6.5 90' – – – 71 (66%) 1
29 Pape Matar Sarr M 6.3 21' – 1 1 7 (6%) –
37 M. van de Ven D 6.3 90' – – – 75 (74%) 1
22 Conor Gallagher M 6.3 90' – – 1 50 (49%) 1
11 Mathys Tel M 6.2 90' – – 2 35 (25%) –
39 Randal Kolo Muani M 6.0 69' – – – 17 (10%) –
13 Destiny Udogie D 5.9 69' – – – 25 (20%) 3
Premium

Deblochează analiza completă AI pentru Chelsea vs Tottenham

  • Toate cele 70+ piețe de probabilitate
  • Raport de meci Analiză Aprofundată AI
  • Avantaj de Valoare — model vs. piață
  • Tipuri de selecții alese de tine
Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră
Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Chelsea
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Chelsea
LDWLW
Tottenham
LLDDL
Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 17, 2026, Chelsea will host Tottenham in what promises to be a fiercely contested London derby. Chelsea has shown strong home form, winning 70% of their last ten matches at Stamford Bridge, while Tottenham has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their away fixtures this season. Key players to watch include Chelsea's attacking midfielder, who has contributed to over 15 goals this season, and Tottenham's striker, who is among the league's top scorers. The match could hinge on Chelsea's ability to break down a Tottenham side that often relies on counter-attacking football. Overall, expect a tightly fought match with both teams aiming for crucial points as the season nears its end.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Chelsea
João Pedro 3 gls
M. Rogers 3 gls
C. Palmer 2 gls
Tottenham

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Chelsea vs Tottenham

2 Chelsea Wins
0 Draws
1 Tottenham Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Aug 2026 Chelsea 1 - 2 Tottenham
01 Nov 2025 Tottenham 0 - 1 Chelsea
03 Apr 2025 Chelsea 1 - 0 Tottenham
Vezi toate cele 10 întâlniri — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Brentford L 3 - 0
12 Sep H Hull City D 2 - 2
09 Sep H Leeds W 6 - 3
06 Sep A Arsenal L 2 - 1
30 Aug H Brighton W 4 - 3

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Aston Villa L 2 - 3
15 Sep A Liverpool L 3 - 1
12 Sep H Everton D 0 - 0
05 Sep A Nottingham Forest D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Newcastle L 0 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Tottenham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. De Zerbi
31 Kinsky
13 Udogie
37 Ven
4 Danso
23 Porro
6 Palhinha
30 Bentancur
11 Tel
22 Gallagher
39 Muani
9 Richarlison

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 A. Kinsky G
23 P. Porro D
4 K. Danso D
37 M. van de Ven D
13 D. Udogie D
30 R. Bentancur M
6 J. Palhinha M
39 R. Kolo Muani M
22 C. Gallagher M
11 M. Tel M
9 Richarlison F

Substitutes

1 G. Vicario G
3 R. Dragusin D
14 A. Gray M
38 Souza D
10 J. Maddison M
8 Y. Bissouma M
24 D. Spence D
29 P. M. Sarr M
15 L. Bergvall M

Chelsea

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Calum McFarlane
1 Sanchez
3 Cucurella
21 Hato
29 Fofana
34 Acheampong
25 Caicedo
17 Santos
8 Fernandez
10 Palmer
7 Neto
9 Delap

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 R. Sanchez G
34 J. Acheampong D
29 W. Fofana D
21 J. Hato D
3 M. Cucurella D
17 Andrey Santos M
25 M. Caicedo M
7 P. Neto M
10 C. Palmer M
8 E. Fernandez M
9 L. Delap F

Substitutes

12 F. Jorgensen G
23 T. Chalobah D
24 R. James D
49 A. Garnacho F
19 M. Sarr D
14 D. Essugo M
62 S. Mheuka F
55 J. Derry F
76 R. Kavuma McQueen F

Asistentul Sportiko

Funcționalități, concurs sau fotbal

Înregistrează-te gratuit pentru a discuta cu Asistentul Sportiko — întreabă despre predicții, concurs sau orice legat de fotbal.

Înregistrare gratuită Ai deja un cont? Conectează-te