Chelsea vs Manchester City Predicție
Predicție Chelsea vs Manchester City: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 21% pentru victoria lui Chelsea, 53% pentru Manchester City și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Manchester City dominated Chelsea from the outset at Stamford Bridge, controlling 63% of possession and generating 12 corner kicks across the 90 minutes. The first half ended goalless despite City's clear territorial advantage, but the visitors wasted little time making their superiority count after the break.
Nico O'Reilly opened the scoring in the 51st minute, and City doubled their lead just six minutes later through Marc Guéhi — a blow compounded by a yellow card shown to Chelsea's Cucurella in the same passage of play. Jérémy Doku added a third in the 68th minute to seal a comprehensive victory, with City's expected goals figure of 2.29 reflecting the clinical nature of their performance against a Chelsea side that managed only three shots on target. Our pre-match AI model had rated a City win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that proved well-founded.
The result leaves Chelsea with serious questions after a flat home display, while Manchester City's controlled, incisive second-half showing underlined their quality on the road. City's 8 shots on goal to Chelsea's 3 told the story plainly.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Chelsea
Match Stats
Chelsea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Robert Sánchez G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (20%) | – |
| 45 Roméo Lavia M | 7.2 | 23' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 14 Dário Essugo M | 7.2 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 3 |
| 29 Wesley Fofana D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (40%) | 3 |
| 17 Andrey Santos M | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 20 João Pedro F | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 34 Josh Acheampong D | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Pedro Neto M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | – |
| 10 Cole Palmer M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 36 (33%) | – |
| 3 Marc Cucurella D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (20%) | 2 |
| 49 Alejandro Garnacho F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | – |
| 9 Liam Delap F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 27 Malo Gusto D | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | 5 |
| 25 Moisés Caicedo M | 6.0 | 82' | – | – | – | 47 (38%) | 1 |
| 21 J. Hato D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (62%) | 4 |
| 41 Estêvão M | 5.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
Manchester City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Marc Guéhi D | 9.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 102 (101%) | 3 |
| 33 Nico O'Reilly D | 8.2 | 64' | 1 | – | 1 | 44 (41%) | 4 |
| 11 Jérémy Doku M | 7.9 | 76' | 1 | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 10 Rayan Cherki M | 7.9 | 76' | – | 2 | 1 | 59 (53%) | – |
| 25 Gianluigi Donnarumma G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
| 45 Abdukodir Khusanov D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 77 (72%) | – |
| 27 Matheus Nunes D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (65%) | – |
| 8 Mateo Kovačić M | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 16 (16%) | – |
| 16 Rodri M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 102 (95%) | 2 |
| 21 Rayan Aït-Nouri D | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 20 Bernardo Silva M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 73 (62%) | 4 |
| 26 Savinho F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 42 Antoine Semenyo M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 33 (29%) | – |
| 47 Phil Foden M | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 9 Erling Haaland F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 10 (5%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
João Pedro
3 gls
M. Rogers
3 gls
C. Palmer
2 gls
E. Haaland
5 gls
R. Cherki
3 gls
A. Semenyo
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Chelsea vs Manchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan 2026 | Manchester City | 1 - 1 | Chelsea |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Manchester City | 3 - 1 | Chelsea |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | Manchester City |
Chelsea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Brentford | L | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Hull City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H Leeds | W | 6 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brighton | W | 4 - 3 |
Manchester City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Sunderland | W | 5 - 3 |
| 17 Sep | H Norwich | W | 5 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Manchester United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A FC Porto | W | 0 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Coventry | W | 1 - 0 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Chelsea
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Calum McFarlane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Sanchez | G |
| 27 | M. Gusto | D |
| 29 | W. Fofana | D |
| 21 | J. Hato | D |
| 3 | M. Cucurella | D |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
| 25 | M. Caicedo | M |
| 41 | Estêvão | M |
| 10 | C. Palmer | M |
| 7 | P. Neto | M |
| 20 | Joao Pedro | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | T. Sharman-Lowe | G |
| 49 | A. Garnacho | F |
| 19 | M. Sarr | D |
| 38 | M. Guiu | F |
| 4 | T. Adarabioyo | D |
| 9 | L. Delap | F |
| 45 | R. Lavia | M |
| 14 | D. Essugo | M |
| 34 | J. Acheampong | D |
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Pep Guardiola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | G. Donnarumma | G |
| 27 | M. Nunes | D |
| 45 | A. Khusanov | D |
| 15 | M. Guehi | D |
| 33 | N. O'Reilly | D |
| 20 | B. Silva | M |
| 16 | Rodri | M |
| 42 | A. Semenyo | M |
| 10 | R. Cherki | M |
| 11 | J. Doku | M |
| 9 | E. Haaland | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | J. Trafford | G |
| 4 | T. Reijnders | M |
| 21 | R. Ait-Nouri | D |
| 8 | M. Kovacic | M |
| 6 | N. Ake | D |
| 47 | P. Foden | M |
| 7 | O. Marmoush | F |
| 14 | Nico | M |
| 26 | Savinho | F |